Larsen U, Menken J
Department of Statistics, University of Lund, Sweden.
Demography. 1989 May;26(2):185-201.
In this article, methods are presented for measuring the level and age pattern of sterility from incomplete birth histories, such as those that can be collected in demographic surveys of women who may not yet have reached the end of their reproductive span. The characteristics of the methods are examined in a simulation study that demonstrates that estimates based on information about fertility subsequent to a given age are more robust to variations in reproductive determinants, sample size, and sampling variation than the other measures, which include the frequently employed length of the open birth interval. In an illustrative analysis of World Fertility Survey data from sub-Saharan Africa, sterility was found to be high in Cameroon, intermediate in Lesotho and Sudan, and low in Ghana and Kenya relative to an English historical population.
本文介绍了一些方法,用于从不完整的生育史中测量不育水平和年龄模式,比如那些可从可能尚未结束生育期的女性人口统计调查中收集到的生育史。在一项模拟研究中检验了这些方法的特征,该研究表明,基于给定年龄之后生育情况信息的估计,相对于其他测量方法(包括常用的未生育间隔时长),对生殖决定因素、样本量和抽样变异的变化更具稳健性。在对撒哈拉以南非洲地区世界生育率调查数据的实例分析中发现,相对于英国历史人口,喀麦隆的不育率较高,莱索托和苏丹处于中等水平,加纳和肯尼亚则较低。