Systems and Industrial Engineering, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Systems and Industrial Engineering, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.
Accid Anal Prev. 2016 Nov;96:329-340. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2015.08.019. Epub 2015 Nov 29.
At a signalized intersection, there exists an area where drivers become indecisive as to either stop their car or proceed through when the traffic signal turns yellow. This point, called a dilemma zone, has remained a safety concern for drivers due to the great possibility of a rear-end or right-angle crash occurring. In order to reduce the risk of car crashes at the dilemma zone, Institute of Transportation Engineers (ITE) recommended a dilemma zone model. The model, however, fails to provide precise calculations on the decision of drivers because it disregards the supplemental roadway information, such as whether a red light camera is present. Hence, the goal of this study was to incorporate such roadway environmental factors into a more realistic driver decision-making model for the dilemma zone. A driving simulator was used to determine the influence of roadway conditions on decision-making of real drivers. Following data collection, each driver's decision outcomes were implemented in an Agent-Based Simulation (ABS) so as to analyze behaviors under realistic road environments. The experimental results revealed that the proposed dilemma zone model was able to accurately predict the decisions of drivers. Specifically, the model confirmed the findings from the driving simulator study that the changes in the roadway environment reduced the number of red light violations at an intersection.
在有交通信号灯的十字路口,当信号灯变为黄色时,司机往往会犹豫不决,不知道是停车还是继续前行。这个区域被称为“两难区”,由于很有可能发生追尾或直角碰撞,因此一直是司机关注的安全隐患。为了降低两难区的车祸风险,美国交通工程师学会(ITE)推荐了两难区模型。然而,由于该模型忽略了补充道路信息,例如是否存在红灯摄像头,因此无法对司机的决策进行精确计算。因此,本研究的目标是将这些道路环境因素纳入更现实的两难区司机决策模型中。通过驾驶模拟器来确定道路条件对实际司机决策的影响。在收集数据后,将每位司机的决策结果纳入基于代理的模拟(ABS)中,以分析在现实道路环境下的行为。实验结果表明,所提出的两难区模型能够准确预测司机的决策。具体来说,该模型证实了驾驶模拟器研究的结果,即道路环境的变化减少了交叉口闯红灯的次数。