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一项推荐的流行病学研究设计,用于调查2011年经历东京电力公司福岛第一核电站事故的应急工作人员的健康不良影响。

A recommended epidemiological study design for examining the adverse health effects among emergency workers who experienced the TEPCO fukushima daiichi NPP accident in 2011.

作者信息

Yasui Shojiro

机构信息

a Ministry of Health , Labour and Welfare , Tokyo , Japan.

出版信息

J Occup Environ Hyg. 2016;13(5):D77-88. doi: 10.1080/15459624.2015.1125484.

Abstract

Results from medical examinations conducted in 2012 of workers who were engaged in radiation work in 2012 as a result of the 2011 Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) accident showed that the prevalence of abnormal findings was 4.21%, 3.23 points higher than the 0.98% that was found prior to the accident in the jurisdiction area of the labor inspection office which holds jurisdiction over the NPP. The Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare (MHLW) concluded that the 2010 and 2012 data cannot be easily compared because 70% of the enterprises within the jurisdiction of the office that reported the 2012 results were different from those that did so in 2010. In addition, although the radiation workers' estimated average dose weighted by number of workers was 3.66 times higher than decontamination workers' dose, the prevalence among radiation workers was only 1.14 times higher than that among decontamination workers. Based on the results of the medical examinations, however, the MHLW decided to implement an epidemiological study on the health effects of radiation exposure on all emergency workers. This article explains key issues of the basic design of the study recommended by the expert meeting established in the MHLW and also identifies challenges that could not be resolved and thus required further consideration by the study researchers. The major issues included: (a) study methods and target group; (b) evaluation of cumulative doses; (c) health effects (end points); (d) control of confounding factors; and (e) study implementation framework. Identified key challenges that required further deliberation were: (a) preventing arbitrary partisan analysis; (b) ensuring a high participation rate; (c) inquiry about the medical radiation doses; and (d) the preparedness of new analytical technology. The study team formulated and implemented the pilot study in 2014 and started the full-scale study in April 2015 with funding from a research grant from the MHLW.

摘要

2011年福岛第一核电站事故导致2012年从事辐射工作的人员接受了医学检查,结果显示异常发现的患病率为4.21%,比该核电站所在辖区劳动监察办公室事故前发现的0.98%高出3.23个百分点。厚生劳动省得出结论,2010年和2012年的数据难以轻易比较,因为报告2012年结果的办公室辖区内70%的企业与2010年报告结果的企业不同。此外,尽管按工人数量加权计算的辐射工作人员估计平均剂量比去污工作人员的剂量高3.66倍,但辐射工作人员中的患病率仅比去污工作人员高1.14倍。然而,根据医学检查结果,厚生劳动省决定对所有应急工作人员进行辐射暴露对健康影响的流行病学研究。本文解释了厚生劳动省设立的专家会议推荐的该研究基本设计的关键问题,并指出了无法解决因而需要研究人员进一步考虑的挑战。主要问题包括:(a)研究方法和目标群体;(b)累积剂量评估;(c)健康影响(终点);(d)混杂因素的控制;以及(e)研究实施框架。确定需要进一步审议的关键挑战是:(a)防止任意的党派分析;(b)确保高参与率;(c)询问医疗辐射剂量;以及(d)新分析技术的准备情况。研究团队在2014年制定并实施了试点研究,并于2015年4月在厚生劳动省研究补助金的资助下开始了全面研究。

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