Li Polly W C, Yu Doris S F
Polly W. C. Li, PhD Professional Consultant, The Nethersole School of Nursing, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong. Doris S. F. Yu, PhD Professor, The Nethersole School of Nursing, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong.
J Cardiovasc Nurs. 2017 Mar/Apr;32(2):99-106. doi: 10.1097/JCN.0000000000000321.
Atypical symptom presentation in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is associated with longer delay in care seeking and poorer prognosis. Symptom recognition in these patients is a challenging task.
Our purpose in this risk prediction model development study was to develop and validate a risk scoring system for estimating cumulative risk for atypical AMI presentation.
A consecutive sample was recruited for the developmental (n = 300) and validation (n = 97) cohorts. Symptom experience was measured with the validated Chinese version of the Symptoms of Acute Coronary Syndromes Inventory. Potential predictors were identified from the literature. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to identify significant predictors. A risk scoring system was then constructed by assigning weights to each significant predictor according to their b coefficients.
Five independent predictors for atypical symptom presentation were older age (≥75 years), female gender, diabetes mellitus, history of AMI, and absence of hyperlipidemia. The Hosmer and Lemeshow test (χ6 = 4.47, P = .62) indicated that this predictive model was adequate to predict the outcome. Acceptable discrimination was demonstrated, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve as 0.74 (95% confidence interval, 0.67-0.82) (P < .001). The predictive power of this risk scoring system was confirmed in the validation cohort.
Atypical AMI presentation is common. A simple risk scoring system developed on the basis of the 5 identified predictors can raise awareness of atypical AMI presentation and promote symptom recognition by estimating the cumulative risk for an individual to present with atypical AMI symptoms.
急性心肌梗死(AMI)患者的非典型症状表现与寻求治疗的延迟时间延长及预后较差相关。识别这些患者的症状是一项具有挑战性的任务。
在这项风险预测模型开发研究中,我们的目的是开发并验证一种风险评分系统,用于估计非典型AMI表现的累积风险。
选取连续样本纳入开发队列(n = 300)和验证队列(n = 97)。采用经过验证的中文版急性冠状动脉综合征症状量表来测量症状体验。从文献中确定潜在预测因素。进行多变量逻辑回归以识别显著预测因素。然后根据每个显著预测因素的b系数为其赋予权重,构建一个风险评分系统。
非典型症状表现的五个独立预测因素为年龄较大(≥75岁)、女性、糖尿病、AMI病史以及无高脂血症。Hosmer和Lemeshow检验(χ6 = 4.47,P = 0.62)表明该预测模型足以预测结果。显示出可接受的区分度,受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.74(95%置信区间,0.67 - 0.82)(P < 0.001)。该风险评分系统的预测能力在验证队列中得到证实。
非典型AMI表现很常见。基于5个已识别的预测因素开发的简单风险评分系统可以提高对非典型AMI表现的认识,并通过估计个体出现非典型AMI症状的累积风险来促进症状识别。