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癌症合并肺栓塞患者治疗环境的预后价值:与肺栓塞严重程度指数的比较

Prognostic Value of Treatment Setting in Patients With Cancer Having Pulmonary Embolism: Comparison With the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index.

作者信息

Ahn Shin, Lee Yoon-Seon, Kim Won Young, Lim Kyung Soo, Lee Jae-Lyun

机构信息

1 Cancer Emergency Room, Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea.

2 Department of Oncology, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Asan Medical Center, Seoul, Korea.

出版信息

Clin Appl Thromb Hemost. 2017 Sep;23(6):615-621. doi: 10.1177/1076029615625826. Epub 2016 Jan 11.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Active cancer is a poor prognostic factor for survival after pulmonary embolism (PE). This retrospective cohort study was performed to investigate how accurately the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) predicts 30-day mortality in patients with active cancer. Whether the treatment setting (palliative vs curative) could predict mortality in these patients was also investigated.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with active cancer and PE who visited the emergency department of Asan Medical Center in January 2007 to June 2014 were identified. The covariates for predicting 30-day mortality were PESI classification, treatment setting (curative vs palliative), brain natriuretic peptide ≥ 150 ng/L, troponin I ≥ 0.10 ng/mL, right ventricular dysfunction, deep vein thrombosis, and anticoagulants used. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess the association between treatment setting and 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

The PESI classification and 30-day mortality did not associate significantly. Area under the receiver-operating curve of the PESI was 0.565 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.453-0.677). Palliative treatment setting associated with an increased risk of 30-day mortality, regardless of the PESI classification (adjusted hazard ratio: 3.72, 95% CI: 1.49-9.26). Treatment setting predicted mortality 30 days, 3 months, and 6 months after PE presentation better than PESI.

CONCLUSION

The PESI did not accurately predict mortality in patients with active cancer. Treatment setting was the most important determinant of clinical outcome in these patients. When stratifying patients with active cancer and PE, palliative treatment setting should be considered as it is predictive of high mortality.

摘要

背景

活动性癌症是肺栓塞(PE)后生存的不良预后因素。本回顾性队列研究旨在调查肺栓塞严重程度指数(PESI)预测活动性癌症患者30天死亡率的准确性。还研究了治疗背景(姑息性与根治性)是否可预测这些患者的死亡率。

方法

确定了2007年1月至2014年6月期间在峨山医学中心急诊科就诊的所有连续性活动性癌症合并PE患者。预测30天死亡率的协变量包括PESI分类、治疗背景(根治性与姑息性)、脑钠肽≥150 ng/L、肌钙蛋白I≥0.10 ng/mL、右心室功能障碍、深静脉血栓形成以及所使用的抗凝剂。采用Cox比例风险回归分析评估治疗背景与30天死亡率之间的关联。

结果

PESI分类与30天死亡率无显著关联。PESI的受试者工作特征曲线下面积为0.565(95%置信区间[CI]:0.453 - 0.677)。无论PESI分类如何,姑息性治疗背景与30天死亡率增加风险相关(调整后风险比:3.72,95%CI:1.49 - 9.26)。治疗背景在PE出现后30天、3个月和6个月预测死亡率优于PESI。

结论

PESI不能准确预测活动性癌症患者的死亡率。治疗背景是这些患者临床结局的最重要决定因素。在对活动性癌症合并PE患者进行分层时,应考虑姑息性治疗背景,因为它可预测高死亡率。

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