巴基斯坦卡拉奇一个减少危害项目中注射吸毒者失访的风险因素。一项病例队列研究。

Risk Factors for Loss to Follow-Up among People Who Inject Drugs in a Risk Reduction Program at Karachi, Pakistan. A Case-Cohort Study.

作者信息

Samo Rab Nawaz, Agha Ajmal, Shah Sharaf Ali, Altaf Arshad, Memon Ashraf, Blevins Meridith, Qian Han-Zhu, Vermund Sten H

机构信息

Polio Eradication Initiative, World Health Organization, Larkana, Pakistan.

Department of Community Health Sciences, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Feb 3;11(2):e0147912. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0147912. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Retention of male people who inject drugs (PWIDs) is a major challenge for harm reduction programs that include sterile needle/syringe exchange in resource-limited settings like Pakistan. We assessed the risk factors for loss to follow-up among male PWIDs enrolled in a risk reduction program in Karachi, Pakistan.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort study among 636 HIV-uninfected male PWIDs enrolled during March-June 2009 in a harm reduction program for the estimation of incidence rate. At 24 months post-enrollment, clients who had dropped out of the program were defined as lost to follow-up and included as cases for case-cohort study.

RESULTS

The median age of the participants was 29 years (interquartile range: 23-36). Active outreach accounted for 76% (483/636) of cohort recruits. Loss to follow-up at 24 months was 25.5% (162/636). In multivariable logistic regression, younger age (AOR: 0.97, 95% CI: 0.92-0.99, p = 0.028), clients from other provinces than Sindh (AOR: 1.49, 95% CI: 1.01-2.22, p = 0.046), having no formal education (AOR: 3.44, 95% CI: 2.35-4.90, p<0.001), a history of incarceration (AOR: 1.68, 95% CI: 1.14-2.46, p<0.008), and being homeless (AOR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.00-2.19, p<0.049) were associated with loss to follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

Our cohort retained 74.5% of male PWIDs in Karachi for 24 months. Its loss to follow up rate suggested substantial ongoing programmatic challenges. Programmatic enhancements are needed for the highest risk male PWIDs, i.e., younger men, men not from Sindh Province, men who are poorly educated, formerly incarcerated, and/or homeless.

摘要

引言

在巴基斯坦等资源有限的地区,留住注射吸毒男性(PWIDs)是包括无菌针头/注射器交换在内的减少伤害项目面临的一项重大挑战。我们评估了巴基斯坦卡拉奇一个降低风险项目中登记的注射吸毒男性失访的风险因素。

方法

我们对2009年3月至6月期间登记参加一个减少伤害项目以估计发病率的636名未感染艾滋病毒的注射吸毒男性进行了一项前瞻性队列研究。在入组24个月后,退出该项目的客户被定义为失访,并作为病例队列研究的病例纳入。

结果

参与者的年龄中位数为29岁(四分位间距:23 - 36岁)。积极外展招募的参与者占队列的76%(483/636)。24个月时的失访率为25.5%(162/636)。在多变量逻辑回归中,年龄较小(调整后比值比:0.97,95%置信区间:0.92 - 0.99,p = 0.028)、来自信德省以外其他省份的客户(调整后比值比:1.49,95%置信区间:1.01 - 2.22,p = 0.046)、未接受过正规教育(调整后比值比:3.44,95%置信区间:2.35 - 4.90,p<0.001)、有监禁史(调整后比值比:1.68,95%置信区间:1.14 - 2.46,p<0.008)以及无家可归(调整后比值比:1.47,95%置信区间:1.00 - 2.19,p<0.049)与失访相关。

结论

我们的队列在卡拉奇留住了74.5%的注射吸毒男性达24个月。其失访率表明该项目仍面临重大挑战。对于风险最高的注射吸毒男性,即年轻男性、非信德省男性、受教育程度低的男性、有过监禁史的男性和/或无家可归的男性,需要加强项目措施。

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