Brotons Pedro, de Paz Hector D, Toledo Diana, Villanova Marta, Plans Pedro, Jordan Iolanda, Dominguez Angela, Jane Mireia, Godoy Pere, Muñoz-Almagro Carmen
Molecular Microbiology Department, University Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Esplugues de Llobregat, Barcelona, 08950, Spain; CIBER of Epidemiology and Public Health (CIBERESP), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, 28029, Spain.
Molecular Microbiology Department, University Hospital Sant Joan de Déu, Esplugues de Llobregat, Barcelona, 08950, Spain.
J Infect. 2016 Apr;72(4):460-7. doi: 10.1016/j.jinf.2016.01.013. Epub 2016 Feb 3.
To identify associations between nasopharyngeal Bordetella pertussis DNA load and clinical and epidemiological characteristics and evaluate DNA load prognostic value in pertussis severity.
Prospective observational multi-centre study including nasopharyngeal samples positive to pertussis DNA by real-time PCR collected from children and adult patients in more than 200 health centres of Catalonia (Spain) during 2012-2013.
B. pertussis load was inversely correlated with age (rho = -0.32, p < 0.001), time to diagnosis (rho = -0.33, p < 0.001) and number of symptoms (rho = 0.13, p = 0.002). Median bacterial load was significantly higher in inpatients versus outpatients (4.91 vs. 2.55 log10 CFU/mL, p < 0.001), patients with complications versus those without (6.05 vs. 2.82 log10 CFU/mL, p < 0.001), disease incidence in summer and autumn versus spring and winter (3.50 vs. 2.21 log10 CFU/mL, p = 0.002), and unvaccinated-partially vaccinated patients versus vaccinated (4.20 vs. 2.76 log10 CFU/mL, p = 0.004). A logistic regression model including bacterial load and other candidate prognostic factors showed good prediction for hospital care (AUC = 0.94) although only age and unvaccinated status were found to be prognostic factors.
We observed strong positive associations of nasopharyngeal bacterial load with severity outcomes of hospitalisation and occurrence of complications. Bacterial load and other independent variables contributed to an accurate prognostic model for hospitalisation.
确定鼻咽部百日咳博德特氏菌DNA载量与临床及流行病学特征之间的关联,并评估DNA载量对百日咳严重程度的预后价值。
一项前瞻性观察性多中心研究,纳入了2012年至2013年期间在西班牙加泰罗尼亚200多个健康中心收集的儿童和成人患者的鼻咽样本,这些样本通过实时PCR检测百日咳DNA呈阳性。
百日咳博德特氏菌载量与年龄呈负相关(rho = -0.32,p < 0.001)、与诊断时间呈负相关(rho = -0.33,p < 0.001)以及与症状数量呈正相关(rho = 0.13,p = 0.002)。住院患者的细菌载量中位数显著高于门诊患者(4.91对2.55 log10 CFU/mL,p < 0.001),有并发症的患者高于无并发症的患者(6.05对2.82 log10 CFU/mL,p < 0.001),夏季和秋季的疾病发病率高于春季和冬季(3.50对2.21 log10 CFU/mL,p = 0.002),未接种疫苗-部分接种疫苗的患者高于接种疫苗的患者(4.20对2.76 log10 CFU/mL,p = 0.004)。一个包含细菌载量和其他候选预后因素的逻辑回归模型对住院治疗显示出良好的预测能力(AUC = 0.94),尽管仅发现年龄和未接种疫苗状态是预后因素。
我们观察到鼻咽部细菌载量与住院严重程度结果及并发症发生之间存在强烈的正相关。细菌载量和其他独立变量有助于建立一个准确的住院预后模型。