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利用卫星数据研究亚马逊盆地西南部降雨与腹泻疾病之间的关系。

Using satellite data to study the relationship between rainfall and diarrheal diseases in a Southwestern Amazon basin.

作者信息

Fonseca Paula Andrea Morelli, Hacon Sandra de Souza, Reis Vera Lúcia, Costa Duarte, Brown Irving Foster

机构信息

Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia, Manaus, AM, Brasil,

Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública, Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.

出版信息

Cien Saude Colet. 2016 Mar;21(3):731-42. doi: 10.1590/1413-81232015213.20162015.

Abstract

The North region is the second region in Brazil with the highest incidence rate of diarrheal diseases in children under 5 years old. The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between rainfall and water level during the rainy season principally with the incidence rate of this disease in a southwestern Amazon basin. Rainfall estimates and the water level were correlated and both of them were correlated with the diarrheal incidence rate. For the Alto Acre region, 2 to 3 days' time-lag is the best interval to observe the impact of the rainfall in the water level (R = 0.35). In the Lower Acre region this time-lag increased (4 days) with a reduction in the correlation value was found. The correlation between rainfall and diarrheal disease was better in the Lower Acre region (Acrelândia, R = 0.7) and rainfall upstream of the city. Between water level and diarrheal disease, the best results were found for the Brasiléia gauging station (Brasiléia, R = 0.3; Epitaciolândia, R = 0.5). This study's results may support planning and financial resources allocation to prioritize actions for local Civil Defense and health care services before, during and after the rainy season.

摘要

北部地区是巴西5岁以下儿童腹泻疾病发病率第二高的地区。本研究的目的是调查雨季期间降雨与水位之间的关系,主要是与亚马逊盆地西南部该疾病的发病率之间的关系。降雨估计值与水位相关,且二者均与腹泻发病率相关。对于上阿克雷州,2至3天的时间滞后是观察降雨对水位影响的最佳间隔(R = 0.35)。在下阿克雷州,发现该时间滞后增加(4天)且相关值降低。在下阿克雷州(阿克里兰迪亚,R = 0.7)以及该市上游的降雨与腹泻疾病之间的相关性更好。在水位与腹泻疾病之间,巴西莱亚水文站(巴西莱亚,R = 0.3;埃皮塔西奥兰迪亚,R = 0.5)的结果最佳。本研究结果可能有助于规划和分配财政资源,以便在雨季之前、期间和之后优先采取行动,为当地民防和医疗服务提供支持。

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