Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, 405 Hilgard Ave., Box 951565, 7127 Math Sciences Bldg., University of California, Los Angeles, California 90095-1565, USA.
Phys Rev E. 2016 Mar;93(3):036201. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.93.036201. Epub 2016 Mar 16.
The comparison performed in Berry et al. [Phys. Rev. E 91, 032915 (2015)] between the skill in predicting the El Niño-Southern Oscillation climate phenomenon by the prediction method of Berry et al. and the "past-noise" forecasting method of Chekroun et al. [Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 108, 11766 (2011)] is flawed. Three specific misunderstandings in Berry et al. are pointed out and corrected.
Berry 等人在[Phys. Rev. E 91, 032915 (2015)]中对 Berry 等人的预测方法与 Chekroun 等人的“过去噪声”预测方法在预测厄尔尼诺-南方涛动气候现象方面的能力进行了比较,这一比较存在缺陷。文中指出并纠正了 Berry 等人的三个具体误解。