Coleman Stephen
Metropolitan State University (Retired), Minneapolis, MN, USA.
SAGE Open Med. 2015 Dec 15;3:2050312115621315. doi: 10.1177/2050312115621315. eCollection 2015.
According to historical medical reports, many children with measles subsequently contracted pertussis, often with fatal results. The likelihood of a child contracting pertussis after a measles infection is increased by its immune-suppressing effects. This research aims to verify the historical reports.
The analysis examines statistically the historical relationship between average measles and pertussis incidence rates in the United States from 1938 to 1954 at the state level and in average weekly rates. Analysis of incidence rates is cross-sectional at the state level using public health data.
The results show that, on average and over time, states with higher measles rates have higher pertussis rates, and the peaks and nadirs of average weekly incidence rates of pertussis lag measles by a delay of about 3-4 weeks, well within the duration of immune suppression. Measles and pertussis have similar geographical distributions.
The research tentatively supports the hypothesis that because of its immune-suppressing effects, measles causes an increase in pertussis, but other factors may be involved. Epidemic models should give more attention to the possibility of immune suppression for diseases such as measles where that might be a risk factor. The findings reemphasize the importance of measles vaccination for the prevention of other diseases.
根据历史医学报告,许多患麻疹的儿童随后感染了百日咳,常常导致致命后果。麻疹感染后的免疫抑制作用会增加儿童感染百日咳的可能性。本研究旨在验证这些历史报告。
该分析从州层面以及平均每周发病率方面,对1938年至1954年美国麻疹和百日咳平均发病率之间的历史关系进行统计学检验。发病率分析在州层面采用公共卫生数据进行横断面研究。
结果显示,平均而言且随着时间推移,麻疹发病率较高的州百日咳发病率也较高,百日咳平均每周发病率的高峰和低谷比麻疹滞后约3 - 4周,这完全在免疫抑制的持续时间内。麻疹和百日咳具有相似的地理分布。
该研究初步支持了这样的假设,即由于麻疹的免疫抑制作用,它会导致百日咳发病率上升,但可能还涉及其他因素。流行模型应更多关注麻疹等疾病存在免疫抑制风险因素的可能性。这些发现再次强调了麻疹疫苗接种对预防其他疾病的重要性。