Bartsch Emily, Medcalf Karyn E, Park Alison L, Ray Joel G
University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences, Toronto, Canada.
BMJ. 2016 Apr 19;353:i1753. doi: 10.1136/bmj.i1753.
To develop a practical evidence based list of clinical risk factors that can be assessed by a clinician at ≤ 16 weeks' gestation to estimate a woman's risk of pre-eclampsia.
Systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies.
PubMed and Embase databases, 2000-15.
Cohort studies with ≥ 1000 participants that evaluated the risk of pre-eclampsia in relation to a common and generally accepted clinical risk factor assessed at ≤ 16 weeks' gestation.
Two independent reviewers extracted data from included studies. A pooled event rate and pooled relative risk for pre-eclampsia were calculated for each of 14 risk factors.
There were 25,356,688 pregnancies among 92 studies. The pooled relative risk for each risk factor significantly exceeded 1.0, except for prior intrauterine growth restriction. Women with antiphospholipid antibody syndrome had the highest pooled rate of pre-eclampsia (17.3%, 95% confidence interval 6.8% to 31.4%). Those with prior pre-eclampsia had the greatest pooled relative risk (8.4, 7.1 to 9.9). Chronic hypertension ranked second, both in terms of its pooled rate (16.0%, 12.6% to 19.7%) and pooled relative risk (5.1, 4.0 to 6.5) of pre-eclampsia. Pregestational diabetes (pooled rate 11.0%, 8.4% to 13.8%; pooled relative risk 3.7, 3.1 to 4.3), prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) >30 (7.1%, 6.1% to 8.2%; 2.8, 2.6 to 3.1), and use of assisted reproductive technology (6.2%, 4.7% to 7.9%; 1.8, 1.6 to 2.1) were other prominent risk factors.
There are several practical clinical risk factors that, either alone or in combination, might identify women in early pregnancy who are at "high risk" of pre-eclampsia. These data can inform the generation of a clinical prediction model for pre-eclampsia and the use of aspirin prophylaxis in pregnancy.
制定一份基于证据的实用临床风险因素清单,临床医生可在妊娠16周及以内对其进行评估,以估计女性患先兆子痫的风险。
队列研究的系统评价和荟萃分析。
2000年至2015年的PubMed和Embase数据库。
参与者≥1000人的队列研究,评估妊娠16周及以内评估的常见且普遍认可的临床风险因素与先兆子痫风险的关系。
两名独立评审员从纳入研究中提取数据。计算了14种风险因素各自的先兆子痫合并事件发生率和合并相对风险。
92项研究中有25356688例妊娠。除既往胎儿生长受限外,每种风险因素的合并相对风险均显著超过1.0。抗磷脂抗体综合征女性的先兆子痫合并发生率最高(17.3%,95%置信区间6.8%至31.4%)。既往有先兆子痫的女性合并相对风险最大(8.4,7.1至9.9)。慢性高血压在先兆子痫的合并发生率(16.0%,12.6%至19.7%)和合并相对风险(5.1,4.0至6.5)方面均排名第二。孕前糖尿病(合并发生率11.0%,8.4%至13.8%;合并相对风险3.7,3.1至4.3)、孕前体重指数(BMI)>30(7.1%,6.1%至8.2%;2.8,2.6至3.1)以及使用辅助生殖技术(6.2%,4.7%至7.9%;1.8,1.6至2.1)是其他突出的风险因素。
有几种实用的临床风险因素,单独或联合使用,可能识别出妊娠早期患先兆子痫“高风险”的女性。这些数据可为先兆子痫临床预测模型的生成以及孕期使用阿司匹林预防提供参考。