Gulf of Maine Research Institute, 350 Commercial Street, Portland, ME 04101, USA.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Earth System Research Laboratory, Boulder, CO 80305, USA.
Science. 2016 Apr 22;352(6284):423. doi: 10.1126/science.aae0463.
Palmer et al and Swain et al suggest that our "extra mortality" time series is spurious. In response, we show that including temperature-dependent mortality improves abundance estimates and that warming waters reduce growth rates in Gulf of Maine cod. Far from being spurious, temperature effects on this stock are clear, and continuing to ignore them puts the stock in jeopardy.
帕尔默等人和斯温等人认为我们的“额外死亡率”时间序列是虚假的。作为回应，我们表明，包含依赖于温度的死亡率可以提高丰度估计值，并且温暖的海水会降低缅因湾鳕鱼的生长率。对于该种群来说，温度对其的影响是显而易见的，绝不能忽视，远非虚假。如果继续忽视这些影响，该种群将处于危险之中。
