Nguyen Hai V, Bose Saideep, Finkelstein Eric
Program in Health Services and Systems Research, Duke-NUS Medical School, 8 College Road, Singapore, 169857, Singapore.
Division of Cardiac, Thoracic, and Vascular Surgery, National University Hospital, 5 Lower Kent Ridge Road, Singapore, 119074, Singapore.
BMC Nephrol. 2016 Apr 28;17(1):45. doi: 10.1186/s12882-016-0256-0.
Sevelamer is an alternative to calcium carbonate for the treatment of hyperphosphatemia among non-dialysis dependent patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Although some studies show that it may reduce mortality and delay the onset of dialysis when compared to calcium carbonate, it is also significantly more expensive. Prior studies looking at the incremental cost-effectiveness of sevelamer versus calcium carbonate in pre-dialysis patients are based on data from a single clinical trial. The goal of our study is to use a wider range of clinical data to achieve a more contemporary and robust cost-effectiveness analysis.
We used a Markov model to estimate the lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) gained for treatment with sevelamer versus calcium carbonate. The model simulated transitions among three health states (CKD not requiring dialysis, end-stage renal disease, and death). Data on transition probabilities and utilities were obtained from the published literature. Costs were calculated from a third party payer perspective and included medication, hospitalization, and dialysis. Sensitivity analyses were also run to encompass a wide range of assumptions about the dose, costs, and effectiveness of sevelamer.
Over a lifetime, the average cost per patient treated with sevelamer is S$180,724. The estimated cost for patients treated with calcium carbonate is S$152,988. A patient treated with sevelamer gains, on average, 6.34 QALYs relative to no treatment, whereas a patient taking calcium carbonate gains 5.81 QALYs. Therefore, sevelamer produces an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of S$51,756 per QALY gained relative to calcium carbonate.
Based on established benchmarks for cost-effectiveness, sevelamer is cost effective relative to calcium carbonate for the treatment of hyperphosphatemia among patients with chronic kidney disease initially not on dialysis.
司维拉姆是用于治疗非透析依赖型慢性肾脏病(CKD)患者高磷血症的碳酸钙替代药物。尽管一些研究表明,与碳酸钙相比,司维拉姆可能降低死亡率并延缓透析开始时间,但它的成本也显著更高。之前关于透析前患者中司维拉姆与碳酸钙增量成本效益的研究是基于单一临床试验的数据。我们研究的目的是使用更广泛的临床数据来进行更现代、更可靠的成本效益分析。
我们使用马尔可夫模型来估计司维拉姆与碳酸钙治疗的终生成本和获得的质量调整生命年(QALY)。该模型模拟了三种健康状态(不需要透析的CKD、终末期肾病和死亡)之间的转变。转变概率和效用的数据来自已发表的文献。成本从第三方支付者的角度计算,包括药物、住院和透析费用。还进行了敏感性分析,以涵盖关于司维拉姆剂量、成本和疗效的广泛假设。
在一生中,接受司维拉姆治疗的患者平均成本为180,724新元。接受碳酸钙治疗的患者估计成本为152,988新元。与未接受治疗相比,接受司维拉姆治疗的患者平均获得6.34个QALY;而服用碳酸钙的患者获得5.81个QALY。因此相对于碳酸钙而言司维拉姆每获得一个QALY产生的增量成本效益比(ICER)为51,756新元。
根据既定的成本效益基准,对于最初未进行透析的慢性肾脏病患者,司维拉姆在治疗高磷血症方面相对于碳酸钙具有成本效益。