Bower Hilary, Johnson Sembia, Bangura Mohamed S, Kamara Alie Joshua, Kamara Osman, Mansaray Saidu H, Sesay Daniel, Turay Cecilia, Checchi Francesco, Glynn Judith R
Emerg Infect Dis. 2016 Aug;22(8):1403-11. doi: 10.3201/eid2208.160163. Epub 2016 Aug 15.
Using histories of household members of Ebola virus disease (EVD) survivors in Sierra Leone, we calculated risk of EVD by age and exposure level, adjusting for confounding and clustering, and estimated relative risks. Of 937 household members in 94 households, 448 (48%) had had EVD. Highly correlated with exposure, EVD risk ranged from 83% for touching a corpse to 8% for minimal contact and varied by age group: 43% for children <2 years of age; 30% for those 5-14 years of age; and >60% for adults >30 years of age. Compared with risk for persons 20-29 years of age, exposure-adjusted relative risks were lower for those 5-9 (0.70), 10-14 (0.64), and 15-19 (0.71) years of age but not for children <2 (0.92) or 2-4 (0.97) years of age. Lower risk for 5-19-year-olds, after adjustment for exposure, suggests decreased susceptibility in this group.
利用塞拉利昂埃博拉病毒病(EVD)幸存者家庭成员的病史,我们按年龄和接触水平计算了EVD风险,对混杂因素和聚集性进行了调整,并估计了相对风险。在94户家庭的937名家庭成员中,448人(48%)曾患EVD。EVD风险与接触高度相关,从接触尸体的83%到极少接触的8%不等,且因年龄组而异:2岁以下儿童为43%;5 - 14岁人群为30%;30岁以上成年人超过60%。与20 - 29岁人群的风险相比,5 - 9岁(0.70)、10 - 14岁(0.64)和15 - 19岁(0.71)人群经接触调整后的相对风险较低,但2岁以下(0.92)或2 - 4岁(0.97)儿童并非如此。在调整接触因素后,5 - 19岁人群风险较低,表明该组易感性降低。