Alman Breanna L, Pfister Gabriele, Hao Hua, Stowell Jennifer, Hu Xuefei, Liu Yang, Strickland Matthew J
The Office of Air Quality Planning and Standards, United States Environmental Protection Agency, 109 T.W Alexander Dr, Research Triangle Park, NC, 27711, USA.
National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3450 Mitchell Lane, Boulder, CO, 80301, USA.
Environ Health. 2016 Jun 4;15(1):64. doi: 10.1186/s12940-016-0146-8.
In 2012, Colorado experienced one of its worst wildfire seasons of the past decade. The goal of this study was to investigate the relationship of local PM2.5 levels, modeled using the Weather Research and Forecasting Model with Chemistry, with emergency department visits and acute hospitalizations for respiratory and cardiovascular outcomes during the 2012 Colorado wildfires.
Conditional logistic regression was used to assess the relationship between both continuous and categorical PM2.5 and emergency department visits during the wildfire period, from June 5(th) to July 6(th) 2012.
For respiratory outcomes, we observed positive relationships between lag 0 PM2.5 and asthma/wheeze (1 h max OR 1.01, 95 % CI (1.00, 1.01) per 10 μg/m(3); 24 h mean OR 1.04 95 % CI (1.02, 1.06) per 5 μg/m(3)), and COPD (1 h max OR 1.01 95 % CI (1.00, 1.02) per 10 μg/m(3); 24 h mean OR 1.05 95 % CI (1.02, 1.08) per 5 μg/m(3)). These associations were also positive for 2-day and 3-day moving average lag periods. When PM2.5 was modeled as a categorical variable, bronchitis also showed elevated effect estimates over the referent groups for lag 0 24 h average concentration. Cardiovascular results were consistent with no association.
We observed positive associations between PM2.5 from wildfire and respiratory diseases, supporting evidence from previous research that wildfire PM2.5 is an important source for adverse respiratory health outcomes.
2012年,科罗拉多州经历了过去十年中最严重的野火季节之一。本研究的目的是调查使用气象研究与预报模型结合化学方法模拟的当地细颗粒物(PM2.5)水平与2012年科罗拉多州野火期间因呼吸和心血管疾病结局导致的急诊就诊及急性住院之间的关系。
采用条件逻辑回归评估在2012年6月5日至7月6日野火期间,连续型和分类型PM2.5与急诊就诊之间的关系。
对于呼吸疾病结局,我们观察到滞后0小时的PM2.5与哮喘/喘息之间存在正相关关系(每10μg/m³的1小时最大比值比为1.01,95%置信区间(1.00,1.01);每5μg/m³的24小时平均比值比为1.04,95%置信区间(1.02,1.06)),以及与慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)之间存在正相关关系(每10μg/m³的1小时最大比值比为1.01,95%置信区间(1.00,1.02);每5μg/m³的24小时平均比值比为1.05,95%置信区间(1.02,1.08))。这些关联在2天和3天移动平均滞后时间段内也为正相关。当将PM2.5建模为分类变量时,对于滞后0小时的24小时平均浓度,支气管炎在参照组中也显示出升高的效应估计值。心血管疾病的结果显示无关联。
我们观察到野火产生的PM2.5与呼吸道疾病之间存在正相关关系,支持了先前研究中关于野火PM2.5是不良呼吸健康结局重要来源的证据。