Lee You Jin, Park Chan Ho, Lee Young-Kyun, Ha Yong-Chan, Koo Kyung-Hoi
Department of Internal Medicine, Center for Thyroid Cancer, National Cancer Center, Goyang, Korea.
Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Seoul National University Bundang Hospital, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seongnam, Korea.
J Bone Metab. 2016 May;23(2):79-83. doi: 10.11005/jbm.2016.23.2.79. Epub 2016 May 31.
The best options of several bisphosphonates for prevention of osteoporotic fractures in postmenopausal women remain controversial. We determined which bisphosphonate provides better efficacy in prevention of osteoporotic fractures using a decision analysis tool, in terms of quality of life.
A decision analysis model was constructed containing final outcome score and the probability of vertebral and hip fracture within 1 year. Final outcome was defined as health-related quality of life, and was used as an utility in the decision tree. Probabilities were obtained by literature review, and health-related quality of life was evaluated by consensus committee. A roll back tool was used to determine the best bisphosphonate, and sensitivity analysis was performed to compensate for decision model uncertainty.
The decision model favored bisphosphonate with higher compliance in terms of quality of life. In one-way sensitivity analysis, ibandronate was more beneficial than the others, when probability of compliance on ibandronate was above 0.589.
In terms of quality of life, the decision analysis model showed that compliance was most important for patients in real world, regardless of type of bisphosphonate.
几种双膦酸盐类药物用于预防绝经后女性骨质疏松性骨折的最佳选择仍存在争议。我们使用决策分析工具,从生活质量的角度确定哪种双膦酸盐在预防骨质疏松性骨折方面疗效更佳。
构建一个决策分析模型,其中包含最终结局评分以及1年内椎体和髋部骨折的概率。最终结局定义为与健康相关的生活质量,并用作决策树中的效用值。通过文献综述获取概率,由共识委员会评估与健康相关的生活质量。使用回溯工具确定最佳双膦酸盐,并进行敏感性分析以弥补决策模型的不确定性。
决策模型显示,就生活质量而言,依从性更高的双膦酸盐更具优势。在单向敏感性分析中,当伊班膦酸钠的依从概率高于0.589时,伊班膦酸钠比其他药物更有益。
从生活质量的角度来看,决策分析模型表明,在现实世界中,对于患者而言,无论双膦酸盐的类型如何,依从性都是最重要的。