Lalmohamed Arief, van Staa Tjeerd P, Vestergaard Peter, Leufkens Hubertus G M, de Boer Anthonius, Emans Pieter, Cooper Cyrus, de Vries Frank
Am J Epidemiol. 2016 Jul 1;184(1):58-66. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwv311. Epub 2016 Jun 16.
Previous observational studies on statins have shown variable results based on the methodology used. Our objective was to study the association between statins and orthopedic implant failure and to explore the influence of methodological differences in study design. Our study base consisted of patients with a primary total joint replacement in Denmark and the United Kingdom (n = 189,286; 1987-2012). We used 4 study designs: 1) case-control (each patient with revision surgery matched to 4 controls), 2) time-dependent cohort (postoperative statin use as a time-varying exposure variable), 3) immortal time cohort (misclassifying the time postoperatively before statin use), and 4) time-exclusion cohort (excluding the time postoperatively before statin use). Cox proportional hazards models and logistic regression were used to estimate incidence rate ratios. In the time-dependent cohort design, statin use was associated with a decreased risk of revision surgery (adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 0.90, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85, 0.96), which was similar to our case-control results (IRR = 0.87, 95% CI: 0.81, 0.93). In contrast, both time-fixed cohort designs yielded substantially lower risk estimates (IRR = 0.36 (95% CI: 0.34, 0.38) and IRR = 0.65 (95% CI: 0.63, 0.68), respectively). We discourage the use of time-fixed cohort studies, which may falsely suggest protective effects. The simple choice of how to classify exposure can substantially change results from biologically plausible to implausible.
先前关于他汀类药物的观察性研究根据所使用的方法得出了不同的结果。我们的目的是研究他汀类药物与骨科植入物失败之间的关联,并探讨研究设计中方法差异的影响。我们的研究对象包括丹麦和英国接受初次全关节置换的患者(n = 189,286;1987 - 2012年)。我们采用了4种研究设计:1)病例对照研究(每位接受翻修手术的患者与4名对照匹配),2)时间依存队列研究(术后他汀类药物使用作为随时间变化的暴露变量),3)不朽时间队列研究(将他汀类药物使用前的术后时间错误分类),以及4)时间排除队列研究(排除他汀类药物使用前的术后时间)。使用Cox比例风险模型和逻辑回归来估计发病率比。在时间依存队列设计中,使用他汀类药物与翻修手术风险降低相关(调整后的发病率比(IRR)= 0.90,95%置信区间(CI):0.85,0.96),这与我们的病例对照研究结果相似(IRR = 0.87,95% CI:0.81,0.93)。相比之下,两种时间固定队列设计得出的风险估计值要低得多(分别为IRR = 0.36(95% CI:0.34,0.38)和IRR = 0.65(95% CI:0.63,0.68))。我们不鼓励使用时间固定队列研究,因为它可能会错误地显示出保护作用。如何对暴露进行分类的简单选择可能会使结果从生物学上合理变为不合理。