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呼吸道合胞病毒导致的死亡率。负担和危险因素。

Mortality due to Respiratory Syncytial Virus. Burden and Risk Factors.

机构信息

1 Fundación INFANT, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

2 Región VI, Buenos Aires, Argentina.

出版信息

Am J Respir Crit Care Med. 2017 Jan 1;195(1):96-103. doi: 10.1164/rccm.201603-0658OC.

Abstract

RATIONALE

Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is the most frequent cause of hospitalization and an important cause of death in infants in the developing world. The relative contribution of social, biologic, and clinical risk factors to RSV mortality in low-income regions is unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the burden and risk factors for mortality due to RSV in a low-income population of 84,840 infants.

METHODS

This was a prospective, population-based, cross-sectional, multicenter study conducted between 2011 and 2013. Hospitalizations and deaths due to severe lower respiratory tract illness (LRTI) were recorded during the RSV season. All-cause hospital deaths and community deaths were monitored. Risk factors for respiratory failure (RF) and mortality due to RSV were assessed using a hierarchical, logistic regression model.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

A total of 2,588 (65.5%) infants with severe LRTI were infected with RSV. A total of 157 infants (148 postneonatal) experienced RF or died with RSV. RSV LRTI accounted for 57% fatal LRTI tested for the virus. A diagnosis of sepsis (odds ratio [OR], 17.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 13.14-21.16 for RF) (OR, 119.39; 95% CI, 50.98-273.34 for death) and pneumothorax (OR, 17.15; 95% CI, 13.07-21.01 for RF) (OR, 65.49; 95% CI, 28.90-139.17 for death) were the main determinants of poor outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

RSV was the most frequent cause of mortality in low-income postneonatal infants. RF and death due to RSV LRTI, almost exclusively associated with prematurity and cardiopulmonary diseases in industrialized countries, primarily affect term infants in a developing world environment. Poor outcomes at hospitals are frequent and associated with the cooccurrence of bacterial sepsis and clinically significant pneumothoraxes.

摘要

背景

呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)是发展中国家婴儿住院和死亡的主要原因。在低收入地区,社会、生物学和临床危险因素对 RSV 死亡率的相对贡献尚不清楚。

目的

确定在一个拥有 84840 名婴儿的低收入人群中,因 RSV 导致的死亡率的负担和危险因素。

方法

这是一项在 2011 年至 2013 年期间进行的前瞻性、基于人群的、横断面、多中心研究。在 RSV 季节记录了严重下呼吸道感染(LRTI)导致的住院和死亡情况。监测了所有原因的医院死亡和社区死亡。使用分层逻辑回归模型评估了呼吸衰竭(RF)和 RSV 导致死亡的危险因素。

测量和主要结果

共有 2588 名(65.5%)患有严重 LRTI 的婴儿感染了 RSV。共有 157 名婴儿(148 名新生儿后)出现 RF 或因 RSV 死亡。RSV LRTI 占所有经病毒检测的致命 LRTI 的 57%。败血症诊断(比值比[OR],17.03;95%置信区间[CI],13.14-21.16 用于 RF)(OR,119.39;95%CI,50.98-273.34 用于死亡)和气胸(OR,17.15;95%CI,13.07-21.01 用于 RF)(OR,65.49;95%CI,28.90-139.17 用于死亡)是不良结局的主要决定因素。

结论

RSV 是低收入新生儿后婴儿死亡的最常见原因。RF 和 RSV LRTI 导致的死亡,几乎仅与工业化国家的早产和心肺疾病有关,主要影响发展中国家环境中的足月婴儿。医院的不良结局很常见,与细菌败血症和临床上显著的气胸同时发生有关。

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