[Modelling the changes of soil organic carbon under different management practices using Daycent model in North China].

The Daycent model was calibrated and validated using measured crop yield and soil organic carbon (SOC) as double assessment standards based on the experimental data from three long-term experiments (i.e. Zhengzhou site in Henan Province, Yucheng site in Shandong Province and Quzhou site in Hebei Province) in North China. Results showed that the build-up parameters simulated the long-term dynamic changes of crop yields and SOC very well, indicating Daycent model could project the dynamic changes of crop yield and SOC soundly. After calibration and validation, Daycent model was used to simulate the changes of SOC under future climate scenarios (representative concentration pathway 4.5, RCP 4.5) with four different management practices (chemical fertilizer, NPK; chemical fertilizer + organic manure, MNPK; straw incorporation, SNPK; no-tillage +straw incorporation, NT) at the three sites. At Zhengzhou site, the change of SOC was highest for MNPK treatment during the period of 2001-2050 (1.7%) and followed by SNPK (1.3%) and NPK (0.8%) in terms of annual relative increase rate (ARIR), indicating long-term amendment of organic manure could effectively increase SOC for light loam soil with irrigation condition. At Yucheng site, the increase of SOC (ARIR) under MNPK treatment (0.4%) was higher than under NPK treatment (0.3%). In addition, the increase of SOC was very low under all treatments at this site, probably due to light soil salinization. At Quzhou site, the increase of SOC (ARIR) under NT treatment was 1.3%, higher than those under SNPK treatment (0.7%) and NPK treatment (0.4%), indicating NT was more effective for SOC increase in this area. We concluded that no-tillage with straw incorporation is the optimized management practice to increase SOC in North China Plain due to mild climate, sound irrigation and available mechanical equipment for straw processing and no-tillage operation.