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肯尼亚基苏木县尼亚卡奇上游分区气候变化意识水平的决定因素

Determinants of climate change awareness level in upper Nyakach Division, Kisumu County, Kenya.

作者信息

Ajuang Chadwick O, Abuom Paul O, Bosire Esna K, Dida Gabriel O, Anyona Douglas N

机构信息

School of Environment and Earth Science, Maseno University, P. O. Box 333, 40105 Maseno, Kenya.

School of Public Health and Community Development, Maseno University, P. O. Box 333, 40105 Maseno, Kenya.

出版信息

Springerplus. 2016 Jul 8;5(1):1015. doi: 10.1186/s40064-016-2699-y. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

Improving the understanding of climate change awareness is one of the top priorities in climate change research. While the African continent is among the regions with the highest vulnerability to climate change, research on climate knowledge and awareness is lacking. Kenya is already grappling with the impacts of climate change, which are projected to increase in a non-linear and non-predictable manner. This study sought to determine climate change awareness levels among households residing in Upper Nyakach Division, Kisumu County, Kenya using common climate change markers viz heavy rainfall, floods, droughts and temperature. A cross-sectional survey design was adopted in which 384 household heads were selected as respondents from 11 sub-locations; all located within Upper Nyakach Division. A questionnaire was used to collect data. Most (90.9 %) respondents had observed changes in the overall climate. Awareness level of climate change varied significantly across the 11 sub-locations. To further gain insight unto which variables were the most significant determinant of climate change awareness in upper Nyakach division, Kisumu county, a Generalized Linear Model (GLM) with Poisson error distribution was built. The model indicated that sex of the household head, education level and age significantly influenced respondents' awareness to climate change markers. Most (87 %) households reported rising temperatures over the past 20 years. Over half (55.2 %) the respondents had observed declining rains, with significant differences being observed across age groups. Up to 75 % of the respondents reported increased droughts frequency over the last 20 years, with significant differences observed across gender. Most (86.7 %) respondents reported having observed changes in water sources with significant differences reported across age groups. The respondents reported an increased prevalence of malaria with significant differences being observed among the education levels and households' main livelihoods. The general population of the Upper Nyakach Divison is aware of changing global climate. However, more effort is required in mitigating climate change as per the local settings. Awareness campaign aimed at increasing knowledge of climate change markers among community members is recommended.

摘要

提高对气候变化意识的理解是气候变化研究的首要任务之一。尽管非洲大陆是最易受气候变化影响的地区之一,但关于气候知识和意识的研究却很匮乏。肯尼亚已经在应对气候变化的影响,预计这些影响将以非线性和不可预测的方式增加。本研究旨在利用暴雨、洪水、干旱和温度等常见气候变化指标,确定肯尼亚基苏木县上尼亚卡奇分区居民的气候变化意识水平。采用横断面调查设计,从11个分区中选取384名户主作为受访者;所有分区均位于上尼亚卡奇分区内。通过问卷调查收集数据。大多数(90.9%)受访者观察到整体气候发生了变化。气候变化意识水平在11个分区之间存在显著差异。为了进一步深入了解哪些变量是基苏木县上尼亚卡奇分区气候变化意识的最重要决定因素,构建了一个具有泊松误差分布的广义线性模型(GLM)。该模型表明,户主的性别、教育水平和年龄显著影响受访者对气候变化指标的意识。大多数(87%)家庭报告称过去20年气温上升。超过一半(55.2%)的受访者观察到降雨量减少,不同年龄组之间存在显著差异。高达75%的受访者报告称过去20年干旱频率增加,不同性别之间存在显著差异。大多数(86.7%)受访者报告观察到水源发生了变化,不同年龄组之间存在显著差异。受访者报告称疟疾患病率上升,不同教育水平和家庭主要生计之间存在显著差异。上尼亚卡奇分区的普通民众意识到全球气候正在变化。然而,根据当地情况,在缓解气候变化方面还需要做出更多努力。建议开展提高社区成员对气候变化指标认识的宣传活动。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7275/4938833/75aa6fa2750c/40064_2016_2699_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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