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通过信息引导投资减少不平等:一种建模方法。

Informing Investment to Reduce Inequalities: A Modelling Approach.

作者信息

McAuley Andrew, Denny Cheryl, Taulbut Martin, Mitchell Rory, Fischbacher Colin, Graham Barbara, Grant Ian, O'Hagan Paul, McAllister David, McCartney Gerry

机构信息

Public Health Science Directorate, NHS Health Scotland, Glasgow, United Kingdom.

Information Services Division, NHS National Services Scotland, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2016 Aug 3;11(8):e0159256. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0159256. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Reducing health inequalities is an important policy objective but there is limited quantitative information about the impact of specific interventions.

OBJECTIVES

To provide estimates of the impact of a range of interventions on health and health inequalities.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Literature reviews were conducted to identify the best evidence linking interventions to mortality and hospital admissions. We examined interventions across the determinants of health: a 'living wage'; changes to benefits, taxation and employment; active travel; tobacco taxation; smoking cessation, alcohol brief interventions, and weight management services. A model was developed to estimate mortality and years of life lost (YLL) in intervention and comparison populations over a 20-year time period following interventions delivered only in the first year. We estimated changes in inequalities using the relative index of inequality (RII).

RESULTS

Introduction of a 'living wage' generated the largest beneficial health impact, with modest reductions in health inequalities. Benefits increases had modest positive impacts on health and health inequalities. Income tax increases had negative impacts on population health but reduced inequalities, while council tax increases worsened both health and health inequalities. Active travel increases had minimally positive effects on population health but widened health inequalities. Increases in employment reduced inequalities only when targeted to the most deprived groups. Tobacco taxation had modestly positive impacts on health but little impact on health inequalities. Alcohol brief interventions had modestly positive impacts on health and health inequalities only when strongly socially targeted, while smoking cessation and weight-reduction programmes had minimal impacts on health and health inequalities even when socially targeted.

CONCLUSIONS

Interventions have markedly different effects on mortality, hospitalisations and inequalities. The most effective (and likely cost-effective) interventions for reducing inequalities were regulatory and tax options. Interventions focused on individual agency were much less likely to impact on inequalities, even when targeted at the most deprived communities.

摘要

背景

减少健康不平等是一项重要的政策目标,但关于特定干预措施影响的定量信息有限。

目的

估计一系列干预措施对健康和健康不平等的影响。

材料与方法

进行文献综述,以确定将干预措施与死亡率和住院率联系起来的最佳证据。我们研究了涵盖健康决定因素的干预措施:“生活工资”;福利、税收和就业的变化;主动出行;烟草税;戒烟、酒精简短干预和体重管理服务。开发了一个模型,以估计在仅第一年实施干预措施后的20年时间内,干预人群和对照人群的死亡率和生命年损失(YLL)。我们使用不平等相对指数(RII)估计不平等的变化。

结果

引入“生活工资”对健康产生了最大的有益影响,健康不平等略有减少。福利增加对健康和健康不平等有适度的积极影响。所得税增加对人群健康有负面影响,但减少了不平等,而市政税增加则使健康和健康不平等状况恶化。主动出行增加对人群健康的积极影响微乎其微,但扩大了健康不平等。就业增加只有针对最贫困群体时才会减少不平等。烟草税对健康有适度的积极影响,但对健康不平等影响不大。酒精简短干预只有在强烈针对社会群体时才对健康和健康不平等有适度的积极影响,而戒烟和减肥计划即使针对社会群体,对健康和健康不平等的影响也微乎其微。

结论

干预措施对死亡率、住院率和不平等的影响明显不同。减少不平等最有效(且可能具有成本效益)的干预措施是监管和税收选项。专注于个体行为的干预措施对不平等的影响可能性要小得多,即使针对最贫困社区也是如此。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9bc6/4972318/2754688aff5d/pone.0159256.g001.jpg

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