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Cutaneous leishmaniasis prevalence and morbidity based on environmental factors in Ilam, Iran: Spatial analysis and land use regression models.

作者信息

Mokhtari Mehdi, Miri Mohammad, Nikoonahad Ali, Jalilian Ali, Naserifar Razi, Ghaffari Hamid Reza, Kazembeigi Farogh

机构信息

Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Health, Shahid Sadoughi University of Medical Sciences, Yazd, Iran.

Department of Environmental Health Engineering, School of Public Health, Sabzevar University of Medical Sciences, Sabzevar, Iran.

出版信息

Acta Trop. 2016 Nov;163:90-7. doi: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2016.08.002. Epub 2016 Aug 3.


DOI:10.1016/j.actatropica.2016.08.002
PMID:27496622
Abstract

The aim of this study was to investigate the impact of the environmental factors on cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) prevalence and morbidity in Ilam province, western Iran, as a known endemic area for this disease. Accurate locations of 3237 CL patients diagnosed from 2013 to 2015, their demographic information, and data of 17 potentially predictive environmental variables (PPEVs) were prepared to be used in Geographic Information System (GIS) and Land-Use Regression (LUR) analysis. The prevalence, risk, and predictive risk maps were provided using Inverse Distance Weighting (IDW) model in GIS software. Regression analysis was used to determine how environmental variables affect on CL prevalence. All maps and regression models were developed based on the annual and three-year average of the CL prevalence. The results showed that there was statistically significant relationship (P value≤0.05) between CL prevalence and 11 (64%) PPEVs which were elevation, population, rainfall, temperature, urban land use, poorland, dry farming, inceptisol and aridisol soils, and forest and irrigated lands. The highest probability of the CL prevalence was predicted in the west of the study area and frontier with Iraq. An inverse relationship was found between CL prevalence and environmental factors, including elevation, covering soil, rainfall, agricultural irrigation, and elevation while this relation was positive for temperature, urban land use, and population density. Environmental factors were found to be an important predictive variables for CL prevalence and should be considered in management strategies for CL control.

摘要

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Cutaneous leishmaniasis prevalence and morbidity based on environmental factors in Ilam, Iran: Spatial analysis and land use regression models.

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引用本文的文献

[1]
Canine leishmaniasis caused by Leishmania Tropica in southeastern Iran: a case series study.

Sci Rep. 2024-10-27

[2]
Geographical and climatic risk factors of cutaneous leishmaniasis in the hyper-endemic focus of Bam County in southeast Iran.

Front Public Health. 2023

[3]
Cutaneous leishmaniasis in Iran: A review of epidemiological aspects, with emphasis on molecular findings.

Parasite. 2022

[4]
The Prospective Effects of Climate Change on Neglected Tropical Diseases in the Eastern Mediterranean Region: a Review.

Curr Environ Health Rep. 2022-6

[5]
The effect of geo-climatic determinants on the distribution of cutaneous leishmaniasis in a recently emerging focus in eastern Iran.

Parasit Vectors. 2021-10-15

[6]
Typical features of cutaneous leishmaniasis in the Ilam province, Iran.

J Parasit Dis. 2020-12

[7]
Environmental and socioeconomic risk factors associated with visceral and cutaneous leishmaniasis: a systematic review.

Parasitol Res. 2020-1-2

[8]
Modeling of Environmental Factors Affecting the Prevalence of Zoonotic and Anthroponotic Cutaneous, and Zoonotic Visceral Leishmaniasis in Foci of Iran: a Remote Sensing and GIS Based Study.

J Arthropod Borne Dis. 2018-3-18

[9]
A time series analysis of environmental and metrological factors impact on cutaneous leishmaniasis incidence in an endemic area of Dehloran, Iran.

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