Jeong Songmi, Nam Taek Keun, Jeong Jae Uk, Kim Sung Hwan, Kim Kyubo, Jang Hong Seok, Jeong Bae Kwon, Lee Jong Hoon
Department of Radiation Oncology, Ewha Womans University School of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Department of Radiation Oncology, Chonnam National University School of Medicine, Gwang-Ju, Republic of Korea.
Clin Exp Metastasis. 2016 Dec;33(8):809-816. doi: 10.1007/s10585-016-9818-6. Epub 2016 Aug 23.
The cut-off value and prognostic significance of postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level in rectal cancer after preoperative chemoradiotherapy (CRT) and curative surgery are still unclear. 1559 rectal cancer patients staged with cT3-4N0-2M0 received preoperative CRT and total mesorectal excision (TME). CEA levels were measured before CRT and 3-4 weeks after surgery. Clinicopathologic factors that could be associated with tumor recurrence and patient survival were analyzed. The cumulative probability of tumor recurrence showed a steep increase with a cutoff value of 2.5 ng/mL for postoperative CEA level, and the gradient decreased as the CEA levels increased above 2.5 ng/mL. After a median follow-up time of 46.7 months, patients with postoperative CEA level >2.5 ng/mL had significantly lower relapse-free survival (RFS) (65.2 vs. 75.6 %, P < 0.001) and overall survival (OS) (78.1 vs. 88.3 %, P < 0.001) at 5 years than patients with postoperative CEA level ≤2.5 ng/mL. On the multivariate analysis, postoperative CEA level was a significant prognostic factor for RFS (HR 1.561; 95 % CI 1.221-1.996; P < 0.001) and OS (HR 2.073; 95 % CI 1.498-2.869; P < 0.001). Postoperative CEA level independently affected RFS irrespective of pre-CRT CEA level. Postoperative CEA level was a significant predictor for distant recurrence (P = 0.004), but not for locoregional recurrence (P = 0.472). Postoperative CEA level >2.5 ng/ml is a predictor of distant metastasis and a negative prognostic factor for survival in rectal cancer patients who receive preoperative CRT and curative surgery.
术前放化疗(CRT)及根治性手术后直肠癌患者术后癌胚抗原(CEA)水平的临界值及预后意义仍不明确。1559例cT3-4N0-2M0期直肠癌患者接受了术前CRT及全直肠系膜切除术(TME)。在CRT前及术后3-4周测量CEA水平。分析了可能与肿瘤复发及患者生存相关的临床病理因素。肿瘤复发的累积概率在术后CEA水平临界值为2.5 ng/mL时呈急剧上升,且随着CEA水平高于2.5 ng/mL,上升梯度减小。中位随访时间46.7个月后,术后CEA水平>2.5 ng/mL的患者5年无复发生存率(RFS)(65.2%对75.6%,P<0.001)和总生存率(OS)(78.1%对88.3%,P<0.001)显著低于术后CEA水平≤2.5 ng/mL的患者。多因素分析显示,术后CEA水平是RFS(HR 1.561;95%CI 1.221-1.996;P<0.001)和OS(HR 2.073;95%CI 1.498-2.869;P<0.001)的显著预后因素。术后CEA水平独立影响RFS,与CRT前CEA水平无关。术后CEA水平是远处复发的显著预测因素(P=0.004),但不是局部区域复发的预测因素(P=0.472)。术后CEA水平>2.5 ng/ml是接受术前CRT及根治性手术的直肠癌患者远处转移的预测因素及生存的负性预后因素。
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