Ásgeirsdóttir Hildur G, Ásgeirsdóttir Tinna L, Nyberg Ullakarin, Thorsteinsdottir Thordis K, Mogensen Brynjólfur, Matthíasson Páll, Lund Sigrún H, Valdimarsdóttir Unnur A, Hauksdóttir Arna
Centre of Public Health Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Faculty of Economics, University of Iceland, Reykjavik, Iceland.
Eur J Public Health. 2017 Apr 1;27(2):339-345. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckw137.
Macroeconomic downturns have been associated with increased suicide rates. This study examined potential changes in suicide attempts and self-harm in Iceland during a period of major economic transition (2003-12).
Data were retrieved from the National University Hospital in Reykjavik (population size: 204.725), containing all ICD-10 diagnoses connected to potential suicidal behaviour. Poisson regression models were used to compare attendance rates before and after the 2008 economic collapse.
During the study period, a total of 4537 attendances of 2816 individuals were recorded due to suicide attempts or self-harm. We noted a significant change in total attendance rates among men, characterized by an annual increase in attendance rate pre-collapse of 1.83 per 100.000 inhabitants and a decrease of 3.06 per 100.000 inhabitants post-collapse ( P = 0.0067). Such pattern was not observed among women. When restricting to first attendances only, we found a reduced incidence post-crisis among both men (RR: 0.85; 0.76-0.96) and women (RR: 0.86; 0.79-0.92). We further found 1% increase in unemployment rate and balance of trade to be associated with reduced attendance rates among men (RR: 0.84; 0.76-0.93 and RR: 0.81; 0.75-0.88, respectively) but not among women.
These data suggest no overall increase in attendance rates due to suicide attempts or self-harm following the 2008 Icelandic economic collapse. In fact, a high-point in self-harm and suicide attempts was observed among men at the height of the economic boom and a decrease in new attendances among both men and women after the economic collapse.
宏观经济衰退与自杀率上升有关。本研究调查了冰岛在重大经济转型期(2003 - 2012年)自杀未遂和自我伤害行为的潜在变化。
数据取自雷克雅未克国立大学医院(人口规模:204,725),包含所有与潜在自杀行为相关的国际疾病分类第十版(ICD - 10)诊断。采用泊松回归模型比较2008年经济崩溃前后的就诊率。
在研究期间,共记录了2816名个体因自杀未遂或自我伤害的4537次就诊。我们注意到男性的总就诊率有显著变化,其特征是在经济崩溃前每10万居民的就诊率年增长率为1.83,而在经济崩溃后每10万居民的就诊率下降了3.06(P = 0.0067)。在女性中未观察到这种模式。当仅限制为首次就诊时,我们发现危机后男性(相对危险度:0.85;0.76 - 0.96)和女性(相对危险度:0.86;0.79 - 0.92)的发病率均有所降低。我们还发现失业率和贸易平衡增加1%与男性就诊率降低相关(相对危险度分别为:0.84;0.76 - 0.93和0.81;0.75 - 0.88),但与女性无关。
这些数据表明,2008年冰岛经济崩溃后,因自杀未遂或自我伤害导致的就诊率并未整体上升。事实上,在经济繁荣顶峰期男性的自我伤害和自杀未遂达到高峰,而在经济崩溃后男性和女性的新就诊人数均有所下降。