Hintze Arend, Hertwig Ralph
BEACON Center for the Study of Evolution in Action, Biomedical and Physical Sciences Building, 567 Wilson Road Room 1441, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.
Department of Integrative Biology, Michigan State University, 288 Farm Lane RM 203, East Lansing, MI 48824, USA.
Sci Rep. 2016 Sep 28;6:34102. doi: 10.1038/srep34102.
When humans fail to make optimal decisions in strategic games and economic gambles, researchers typically try to explain why that behaviour is biased. To this end, they search for mechanisms that cause human behaviour to deviate from what seems to be the rational optimum. But perhaps human behaviour is not biased; perhaps research assumptions about the optimality of strategies are incomplete. In the one-shot anonymous symmetric ultimatum game (UG), humans fail to play optimally as defined by the Nash equilibrium. However, the distinction between kin and non-kin-with kin detection being a key evolutionary adaption-is often neglected when deriving the "optimal" strategy. We computationally evolved strategies in the UG that were equipped with an evolvable probability to discern kin from non-kin. When an opponent was not kin, agents evolved strategies that were similar to those used by humans. We therefore conclude that the strategy humans play is not irrational. The deviation between behaviour and the Nash equilibrium may rather be attributable to key evolutionary adaptations, such as kin detection. Our findings further suggest that social preference models are likely to capture mechanisms that permit people to play optimally in an evolutionary context. Once this context is taken into account, human behaviour no longer appears irrational.
当人类在战略游戏和经济赌博中未能做出最优决策时,研究人员通常会试图解释这种行为为何存在偏差。为此,他们会寻找导致人类行为偏离看似理性最优解的机制。但也许人类行为并无偏差;也许关于策略最优性的研究假设并不完整。在一次性匿名对称最后通牒博弈(UG)中,人类并未按照纳什均衡所定义的那样进行最优博弈。然而,在推导“最优”策略时,亲属与非亲属之间的区别——亲属识别是一种关键的进化适应——常常被忽视。我们在UG中通过计算演化出了具备可演化概率来区分亲属与非亲属的策略。当对手不是亲属时,智能体演化出的策略与人类所采用的策略相似。因此,我们得出结论,人类所采用的策略并非不理性。行为与纳什均衡之间的偏差或许更应归因于关键的进化适应,比如亲属识别。我们的研究结果进一步表明,社会偏好模型可能捕捉到了使人们在进化背景下能够进行最优博弈的机制。一旦考虑到这种背景,人类行为就不再显得不理性。