Kavaliunas Andrius, Manouchehrinia Ali, Stawiarz Leszek, Ramanujam Ryan, Agholme Jonas, Hedström Anna Karin, Beiki Omid, Glaser Anna, Hillert Jan
Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden/Department of Mathematics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.
Mult Scler. 2017 Aug;23(9):1233-1240. doi: 10.1177/1352458516675039. Epub 2016 Oct 17.
The aim of this study was to identify factors influencing the long-term clinical progression of multiple sclerosis (MS). A special objective was to investigate whether early treatment decisions influence outcome.
We included 639 patients diagnosed with MS from 2001 to 2007. The median follow-up time was 99 months (8.25 years). Cox regression models were applied to identify factors correlating with the outcome variable defined as time from treatment start to irreversible score 4 of the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS).
Patients initiated on treatment later had a greater risk of reaching EDSS 4 (hazard ratio of 1.074 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.048-1.101)), increased by 7.4% for every year of delay in treatment start after MS onset. Patients who started treatment after 3 years from MS onset reached the outcome sooner with hazard ratio of 2.64 (95% CI, 1.71-4.08) compared with the patients who started treatment within 1 year from MS onset. Baseline EDSS and age at onset were found to be predictive factors of disability progression.
Early treatment initiation was associated with a better clinical outcome. In addition, we confirmed the well-established prognostic factors of late age at onset and early disability.
本研究旨在确定影响多发性硬化症(MS)长期临床进展的因素。一个特殊目的是调查早期治疗决策是否会影响预后。
我们纳入了2001年至2007年诊断为MS的639例患者。中位随访时间为99个月(8.25年)。应用Cox回归模型来确定与结局变量相关的因素,该结局变量定义为从治疗开始到扩展残疾状态量表(EDSS)达到不可逆的4分所需的时间。
开始治疗较晚的患者达到EDSS 4的风险更高(风险比为1.074(95%置信区间(CI),1.048 - 1.101)),MS发病后治疗开始每延迟一年,风险增加7.4%。与MS发病后1年内开始治疗的患者相比,MS发病3年后开始治疗的患者达到该结局的时间更早,风险比为2.64(95% CI,1.71 - 4.08)。发现基线EDSS和发病年龄是残疾进展的预测因素。
早期开始治疗与更好的临床结局相关。此外,我们证实了发病年龄晚和早期残疾这两个已确立的预后因素。