Kubo T, Shigemitsu S
Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Tsukuba School of Medicine, Ibaraki, Japan.
Comput Biomed Res. 1989 Oct;22(5):454-60. doi: 10.1016/0010-4809(89)90038-4.
A computer system was developed to predict congestion of the obstetric ward in the near future. The admittance and stay in the obstetric ward of every registered patient are simulated based on the table of reservation and observed data of hospital stay, and from this the number of inpatients (occupied beds) is predicted. If the expected date of confinement of every obstetric patient is put into the computer and the information on patients who have already given birth is deleted, it is possible to obtain a reasonably accurate prediction.
开发了一种计算机系统来预测产科病房在不久的将来的拥堵情况。根据预约表和观察到的住院数据，对每位登记患者在产科病房的入院和住院情况进行模拟，据此预测住院患者（占用床位）数量。如果将每位产科患者的预产期输入计算机，并删除已分娩患者的信息，就有可能获得相当准确的预测结果。
