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门诊环境中的认知/身体筛查能否预测髋部骨折后的住院情况?

Does cognitive/physical screening in an outpatient setting predict institutionalization after hip fracture?

作者信息

Hongisto Markus T, Nuotio Maria, Luukkaala Tiina, Väistö Olli, Pihlajamäki Harri K

机构信息

Department of Orthopedics and Traumatology, Seinäjoki Central Hospital, Hanneksenrinne 7, Seinäjoki, 60220, Finland.

Department of Musculoskeletal Diseases, Tampere University Hospital, Teiskontie 35, Tampere, 33521, Finland.

出版信息

BMC Musculoskelet Disord. 2016 Oct 22;17(1):444. doi: 10.1186/s12891-016-1272-8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Institutionalization after hip fracture is a socio-economical burden. We examined the predictive value of Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) and Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) for institutionalization after hip fracture to identify patients at risk for institutionalization.

METHODS

Fragility hip fracture patients ≥65 years of age (n = 584) were comprehensively examined at a geriatric outpatient clinic 4 to 6 months after surgery and followed 1 year postoperatively. A telephone interview with a structured inquiry was performed at 1, 4, and 12 months after hip fracture.

RESULTS

Age-adjusted univariate logistic regression analysis revealed that IADL and MMSE scores measured at the outpatient clinic were significantly associated with living arrangements 1 year after hip fracture. Multivariate logistic regression analysis established that institutionalization 1 year after hip fracture was significantly predicted by institutionalization at 4 months (odds ratio [OR] 16.26, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 7.37-35.86), IADL <5 (OR 12.96, 95 % CI 1.62-103.9), and MMSE <20 (OR 4.19, 95 % CI 1.82-9.66). A cut-off value of 5 was established for IADL with 100 % (95 % CI 96 %-100 %) sensitivity and 38 % (95 % CI 33 %-43 %) specificity and for MMSE, a cut-off value of 20 had 83 % (95 % CI 74 %-91 %) sensitivity and 65 % (95 % CI 60 %-70 %) specificity for institutionalization. During the time period from 4 to 12 months, 66 (11 %) patients changed living arrangements, and 36 (55 %) of these patients required more supportive accommodations.

CONCLUSION

IADL and MMSE scores obtained 4 to 6 months after hospital discharge may be applicable for predicting institutionalization among fragility hip fracture patients ≥65 years of age at 1 year after hip fracture. An IADL score of ≥5 predicted the ability to remain in the community. Changes in living arrangements also often occur after 4 months.

摘要

背景

髋部骨折后入住养老院是一项社会经济负担。我们研究了日常生活活动能力量表(IADL)和简易精神状态检查表(MMSE)对髋部骨折后入住养老院的预测价值,以识别有入住养老院风险的患者。

方法

年龄≥65岁的髋部脆性骨折患者(n = 584)在术后4至6个月于老年门诊接受全面检查,并在术后随访1年。在髋部骨折后的1、4和12个月进行了一次带有结构化询问的电话访谈。

结果

年龄调整后的单因素逻辑回归分析显示,门诊测量的IADL和MMSE评分与髋部骨折1年后的生活安排显著相关。多因素逻辑回归分析确定,髋部骨折1年后入住养老院的显著预测因素为4个月时入住养老院(比值比[OR] 16.26,95%置信区间[CI] 7.37 - 35.86)、IADL < 5(OR 12.96,95% CI 1.62 - 103.9)以及MMSE < 20(OR 4.19,95% CI 1.82 - 9.66)。IADL的临界值设定为5,其敏感度为100%(95% CI 96% - 100%),特异度为38%(95% CI 33% - 43%);对于MMSE,临界值为20时,入住养老院的敏感度为83%(95% CI 74% - 91%),特异度为65%(95% CI 60% - 70%)。在4至12个月期间,66名(11%)患者改变了生活安排,其中36名(55%)患者需要更多支持性住所。

结论

出院后4至6个月获得的IADL和MMSE评分可能适用于预测年龄≥65岁的髋部脆性骨折患者在髋部骨折1年后入住养老院的情况。IADL评分≥5预测了留在社区的能力。生活安排的改变也经常在4个月后发生。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/abd2/5075417/55cc1d5eec3d/12891_2016_1272_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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