Poulos Helen M, Chernoff Barry
College of the Environment, Wesleyan University, Middletown, CT, 06457, USA.
Departments of Biology and Earth and Environmental Studies, Wesleyan University, Middletown, CT, 06547, USA.
Environ Manage. 2017 Feb;59(2):249-263. doi: 10.1007/s00267-016-0794-z. Epub 2016 Nov 17.
New multivariate time-series methods have the potential to provide important insights into the effects of ecosystem restoration activities. To this end, we examined the temporal effects of dam removal on fish community interactions using multivariate autoregressive models to understand changes in fish community structure in the Eightmile River System, Connecticut, USA. We sampled fish for 6 years during the growing season; 1 year prior to, 2 years during, and for 3 years after a small dam removal event. The multivariate autoregressive analysis revealed that the site above the dam was the most reactive and least resilient sample site, followed in order by the below-dam and nearby reference site. Even 3 years after the dam removal event, the stream was still in a recovery stage that had failed to approximate the community structure of the reference site. This suggests that the reorganization of fish communities following dam removals, with the goal of ecological restoration, may take decades to centuries for the restored sites to approximate the community structure of nearby undisturbed sites. Results from this study also highlight the utility of multivariate autoregressive modeling for examining temporal interactions among species in response to adaptive management activities both in aquatic systems and elsewhere.
新的多元时间序列方法有可能为生态系统恢复活动的影响提供重要见解。为此,我们使用多元自回归模型研究了拆除大坝对鱼类群落相互作用的时间影响,以了解美国康涅狄格州八英里河系统中鱼类群落结构的变化。我们在生长季节对鱼类进行了6年的采样;在拆除一座小型大坝事件之前1年、期间2年以及之后3年进行采样。多元自回归分析表明,大坝上游的采样点是反应最强烈且恢复能力最弱的采样点,其次依次是大坝下游和附近的参考采样点。即使在拆除大坝事件3年后,溪流仍处于恢复阶段,尚未接近参考采样点的群落结构。这表明,以生态恢复为目标的拆除大坝后鱼类群落的重组,恢复后的采样点可能需要数十年到数百年才能接近附近未受干扰采样点的群落结构。这项研究的结果还凸显了多元自回归建模在研究水生系统及其他地方物种响应适应性管理活动的时间相互作用方面所具有的效用。