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社会经济地位与生育率下降:来自欧洲和北美的历史转变的见解

Socio-economic status and fertility decline: Insights from historical transitions in Europe and North America.

作者信息

Dribe Martin, Breschi Marco, Gagnon Alain, Gauvreau Danielle, Hanson Heidi A, Maloney Thomas N, Mazzoni Stanislao, Molitoris Joseph, Pozzi Lucia, Smith Ken R, Vézina Hélène

机构信息

a Lund University.

b University of Sassari.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 2017 Mar;71(1):3-21. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2016.1253857. Epub 2016 Nov 25.

Abstract

The timings of historical fertility transitions in different regions are well understood by demographers, but much less is known regarding their specific features and causes. In the study reported in this paper, we used longitudinal micro-level data for five local populations in Europe and North America to analyse the relationship between socio-economic status and fertility during the fertility transition. Using comparable analytical models and class schemes for each population, we examined the changing socio-economic differences in marital fertility and related these to common theories on fertility behaviour. Our results do not provide support for the hypothesis of universally high fertility among the upper classes in pre-transitional society, but do support the idea that the upper classes acted as forerunners by reducing their fertility before other groups. Farmers and unskilled workers were the latest to start limiting their fertility. Apart from these similarities, patterns of class differences in fertility varied significantly between populations.

摘要

人口统计学家对不同地区历史上生育转变的时间安排有充分的了解,但对于其具体特征和原因却知之甚少。在本文所报告的研究中,我们使用了欧洲和北美的五个当地人口的纵向微观层面数据,来分析生育转变期间社会经济地位与生育之间的关系。我们为每个人口群体使用了可比的分析模型和分类方案,研究了婚姻生育中不断变化的社会经济差异,并将这些差异与关于生育行为的常见理论联系起来。我们的结果并不支持转型前社会上层阶级普遍高生育率的假设,但确实支持这样一种观点,即上层阶级通过比其他群体更早地降低生育率而起到了先驱作用。农民和非技术工人是最后开始限制生育的。除了这些相似之处,不同人口群体之间生育的阶级差异模式也有很大不同。

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