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埃塞俄比亚西北部成年人二线抗逆转录病毒治疗失败的预测因素:一项多中心回顾性随访研究

Predictors of treatment failure on second-line antiretroviral therapy among adults in northwest Ethiopia: a multicentre retrospective follow-up study.

作者信息

Tsegaye Adino Tesfahun, Wubshet Mamo, Awoke Tadesse, Addis Alene Kefyalew

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Gondar, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Gondar, Ethiopia.

Department of Public Health, University of Gondar, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Gondar, Ethiopia.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2016 Dec 8;6(12):e012537. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2016-012537.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The number of patients using second-line antiretroviral therapy (ART) has increased over time. In Ethiopia, 1.5% of HIV infected patients on ART are using a second-line regimen and little is known about its effect in this setting.

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the rate and predictors of treatment failure on second-line ART among adults living with HIV in northwest Ethiopia.

SETTING

An institution-based retrospective follow-up study was conducted at three tertiary hospitals in northwest Ethiopia from March to May 2015.

PARTICIPANTS

356 adult patients participated and 198 (55.6%) were males. Individuals who were on second-line ART for at least 6 months of treatment were included and the data were collected by reviewing their records.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

The primary outcome was treatment failure defined as immunological failure, clinical failure, death, or lost to follow-up. To assess our outcome, we used the definitions of the WHO 2010 guideline.

RESULT

The mean±SD age of participants at switch was 36±8.9 years. The incidence rate of failure was 61.7/1000 person years. The probability of failure at the end of 12 and 24 months were 5.6% and 13.6%, respectively. Out of 67 total failures, 42 (62.7%) occurred in the first 2 years. The significant predictors of failure were found to be: WHO clinical stage IV at switch (adjusted HR (AHR) 2.1, 95% CI 1.1 to 4.1); CD4 count <100 cells/mm at switch (AHR 2.0, 95% CI 1.2 to 3.5); and weight change (AHR 0.92, 95% CI 0.88 to 0.95).

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of treatment failure was highest during the first 2 years of treatment. WHO clinical stage, CD4 count at switch, and change in weight were found to be predictors of treatment failure.

摘要

背景

随着时间的推移,使用二线抗逆转录病毒疗法(ART)的患者数量有所增加。在埃塞俄比亚,接受ART治疗的HIV感染患者中有1.5%正在使用二线治疗方案,而关于其在这种情况下的效果知之甚少。

目的

评估埃塞俄比亚西北部感染HIV的成年人二线ART治疗失败的发生率及预测因素。

背景

2015年3月至5月,在埃塞俄比亚西北部的三家三级医院开展了一项基于机构的回顾性随访研究。

参与者

356名成年患者参与研究,其中198名(55.6%)为男性。纳入接受二线ART治疗至少6个月的个体,并通过查阅其记录收集数据。

主要结局指标

主要结局为治疗失败,定义为免疫失败、临床失败、死亡或失访。为评估我们的结局,我们采用了世界卫生组织2010年指南的定义。

结果

转换治疗时参与者的平均年龄±标准差为36±8.9岁。失败发生率为61.7/1000人年。12个月和24个月时的失败概率分别为5.6%和13.6%。在67例总失败病例中,42例(62.7%)发生在最初2年。发现失败的显著预测因素为:转换治疗时世界卫生组织临床分期IV期(调整后风险比(AHR)2.1,95%置信区间1.1至4.1);转换治疗时CD4细胞计数<100个/mm³(AHR 2.0,95%置信区间1.2至3.5);以及体重变化(AHR 0.92,95%置信区间0.88至0.95)。

结论

治疗失败率在治疗的最初2年最高。发现世界卫生组织临床分期、转换治疗时的CD4细胞计数和体重变化是治疗失败的预测因素。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/83af/5168604/fcc73a0c2f0c/bmjopen2016012537f01.jpg

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