Esin Sertac, Hayran Mutlu, Tohma Yusuf Aytac, Guden Mahmut, Alay Ismail, Esinler Deniz, Yalvac Serdar, Kandemir Omer
J Perinat Med. 2017 Feb 1;45(2):253-266. doi: 10.1515/jpm-2016-0258.
To compare different ultrasonographic fetal weight estimation formulas in predicting the fetal birth weight of preterm premature rupture of membrane (PPROM) fetuses.
Based on the ultrasonographic measurements, the estimated fetal weight (EFW) was calculated according to the published formulas. The comparisons used estimated birth weight (EBW) and observed birth weight (OBW) to calculate the mean absolute percentage error [(EBW-OBW)/OBW×100], mean percentage error [(EBW-OBW)/OBW×100)] and their 95% confidence intervals.
There were 234 PPROM patients in the study period. The mean gestational age at which PPROM occured was 31.2±3.7 weeks and the mean gestational age of delivery was 32.4±3.2 weeks. The mean birth weight was 1892±610 g. The median absolute percentage error for 33 formulas was 11.7%. 87.9% and 21.2% of the formulas yielded inaccurate results when the cut-off values for median absolute percentage error were 10% and 15%, respectively. The Vintzileos' formula was the only method which had less than or equal to 10% absolute percentage error in all age and weight groups.
For PPROM patients, most of the formulas designed for sonographic fetal weight estimation had acceptable performance. The Vintzileos' method was the only formula having less than 10% absolute percentage error in all gestational age and weight groups; therefore, it may be the preferred method in this cohort. Amniotic fluid index (AFI) before delivery had no impact on the performance of the formulas in terms of mean percentage errors.
比较不同超声胎儿体重估计公式在预测胎膜早破早产胎儿出生体重方面的效果。
基于超声测量结果,根据已发表的公式计算估计胎儿体重(EFW)。比较采用估计出生体重(EBW)和观察出生体重(OBW)来计算平均绝对百分比误差[(EBW - OBW)/ OBW×100]、平均百分比误差[(EBW - OBW)/ OBW×100]及其95%置信区间。
研究期间共有234例胎膜早破患者。胎膜早破发生时的平均孕周为31.2±3.7周,分娩时的平均孕周为32.4±3.2周。平均出生体重为1892±610 g。33个公式的中位绝对百分比误差为11.7%。当中位绝对百分比误差的截断值分别为10%和15%时,分别有87.9%和21.2%的公式得出不准确的结果。Vintzileos公式是所有年龄和体重组中唯一绝对百分比误差小于或等于10%的方法。
对于胎膜早破患者,大多数用于超声估计胎儿体重的公式表现尚可。Vintzileos方法是所有孕周和体重组中唯一绝对百分比误差小于10%的公式;因此,它可能是该队列中的首选方法。分娩前羊水指数(AFI)在平均百分比误差方面对公式的性能没有影响。