Reeves Aaron, McKee Martin, Mackenbach Johan, Whitehead Margaret, Stuckler David
International Inequalities Institute, London School of Economics and Political Science, UK.
Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 2017 Feb;71(2):174-180. doi: 10.1136/jech-2015-206257. Epub 2016 Dec 13.
Since the onset of the Great Recession in Europe, unmet need for medical care has been increasing, especially in persons aged 65 or older. It is possible that public pensions buffer access to healthcare in older persons during times of economic crisis, but to our knowledge, this has not been tested empirically in Europe.
We integrated panel data on 16 European countries for years 2004-2010 with indicators of public pension, unemployment insurance and sickness insurance entitlement from the Comparative Welfare Entitlements Dataset and unmet need (due to cost) prevalence rates from EuroStat 2014 edition. Using country-level fixed-effects regression models, we evaluate whether greater public pension entitlement, which helps reduce old-age poverty, reduces the prevalence of unmet medical need in older persons and whether it reduces inequalities in unmet medical need across the income distribution.
We found that each 1-unit increase in public pension entitlement is associated with a 1.11 percentage-point decline in unmet medical need due to cost among over 65s (95% CI -0.55 to -1.66). This association is strongest for the lowest income quintile (1.65 percentage points, 95% CI -1.19 to -2.10). Importantly, we found consistent evidence that out-of-pocket payments were linked with greater unmet needs, but that this association was mitigated by greater public pension entitlement (β=-1.21 percentage points, 95% CI -0.37 to -2.06).
Greater public pension entitlement plays a crucial role in reducing inequalities in unmet medical need among older persons, especially in healthcare systems which rely heavily on out-of-pocket payments.
自欧洲大衰退开始以来,医疗需求未得到满足的情况一直在增加,尤其是在65岁及以上的人群中。在经济危机时期,公共养老金可能会缓冲老年人获得医疗保健的机会,但据我们所知,这在欧洲尚未得到实证检验。
我们将2004 - 2010年16个欧洲国家的面板数据与来自《比较福利权益数据集》的公共养老金、失业保险和疾病保险权益指标以及欧盟统计局2014年版中未满足需求(因费用)的患病率数据相结合。使用国家层面的固定效应回归模型,我们评估更高的公共养老金权益(有助于减少老年贫困)是否会降低老年人未满足医疗需求的患病率,以及它是否会减少收入分布中未满足医疗需求的不平等现象。
我们发现,公共养老金权益每增加1个单位,65岁以上人群中因费用导致的未满足医疗需求就会下降1.11个百分点(95%置信区间为 - 0.55至 - 1.66)。这种关联在最低收入五分位数人群中最为明显(1.65个百分点,95%置信区间为 - 1.19至 - 2.10)。重要的是,我们发现一致的证据表明,自付费用与更高的未满足需求相关,但这种关联因更高的公共养老金权益而得到缓解(β = - 1.21个百分点,95%置信区间为 - 0.37至 - 2.06)。
更高的公共养老金权益在减少老年人未满足医疗需求的不平等现象中起着关键作用,尤其是在严重依赖自付费用的医疗体系中。