Departments of 1 Clinical Medicine and.
Statistics, Macquarie University, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
J Neurosurg. 2017 Nov;127(5):1105-1116. doi: 10.3171/2016.8.JNS161275. Epub 2016 Dec 23.
OBJECTIVE The purpose of this study was to adapt and apply the extended definition of favorable outcome established for Gamma Knife radiosurgery (GKRS) to surgery for brain arteriovenous malformations (bAVMs). The aim was to derive both an error around the point estimate and a model incorporating angioarchitectural features in order to facilitate comparison among different treatments. METHODS A prospective microsurgical cohort was analyzed. This cohort included patients undergoing embolization who did not proceed to microsurgery and patients denied surgery because of perceived risk of treatment. Data on bAVM residual and recurrence during long-term follow-up as well as complications of surgery and preoperative embolization were analyzed. Patients with Spetzler-Ponce Class C bAVMs were excluded because of extreme selection bias. First, patients with a favorable outcome were identified for both Class A and Class B lesions. Patients were considered to have a favorable outcome if they were free of bAVM recurrence or residual at last follow-up, with no complication of surgery or preoperative embolization, and a modified Rankin Scale score of more than 1 at 12 months after treatment. Patients who were denied surgery because of perceived risk, but would otherwise have been candidates for surgery, were included as not having a favorable outcome. Second, the authors analyzed favorable outcome from microsurgery by means of regression analysis, using as predictors characteristics previously identified to be associated with complications. Third, they created a prediction model of favorable outcome for microsurgery dependent upon angioarchitectural variables derived from the regression analysis. RESULTS From a cohort of 675 patients who were either treated or denied surgery because of perceived risk of surgery, 562 had Spetzler-Ponce Class A or B bAVMs and were included in the analysis. Logistic regression for favorable outcome found decreasing maximum diameter (continuous, OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.51-0.76), the absence of eloquent location (OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.12-0.43), and the absence of deep venous drainage (OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.10-0.36) to be significant predictors of favorable outcome. These variables are in agreement with previous analyses of microsurgery leading to complications, and the findings support the use of favorable outcome for microsurgery. The model developed for angioarchitectural features predicts a range of favorable outcome at 8 years following microsurgery for Class A bAVMs to be 88%-99%. The same model for Class B bAVMs predicts a range of favorable outcome of 62%-90%. CONCLUSIONS Favorable outcome, derived from GKRS, can be successfully used for microsurgical cohort series to assist in treatment recommendations. A favorable outcome can be achieved by microsurgery in at least 90% of cases at 8 years following microsurgery for patients with bAVMs smaller than 2.5 cm in maximum diameter and, in the absence of either deep venous drainage or eloquent location, patients with Spetzler-Ponce Class A bAVMs of all diameters. For patients with Class B bAVMs, this rate of favorable outcome can only be approached for lesions with a maximum diameter just above 6 cm or smaller and without deep venous drainage or eloquent location.
目的 本研究旨在将伽玛刀放射外科(GKRS)的有利结局扩展定义应用于脑动静脉畸形(bAVM)手术。目的是得出一个围绕点估计的误差,并建立一个包含血管构筑特征的模型,以便于不同治疗方法的比较。
方法 分析了前瞻性显微外科队列。该队列包括接受栓塞但未进行显微手术的患者,以及由于治疗风险而拒绝手术的患者。分析了长期随访期间 bAVM 残留和复发以及手术和术前栓塞并发症的数据。由于极端选择偏倚,排除了 Spetzler-Ponce 分级 C 的 bAVM 患者。首先,确定了 A 级和 B 级病变的有利结局患者。如果患者在最后一次随访时没有 bAVM 复发或残留,没有手术或术前栓塞并发症,并且在治疗后 12 个月的改良 Rankin 量表评分大于 1,则认为患者有良好的预后。由于手术风险而被拒绝手术的患者被认为没有良好的预后,但如果其他方面符合手术条件,则被认为没有良好的预后。其次,作者通过回归分析分析了显微外科的有利结局,使用先前确定的与并发症相关的特征作为预测因子。第三,他们根据回归分析中得出的血管构筑变量,为显微外科建立了有利结局的预测模型。
结果 在接受治疗或因手术风险而拒绝手术的 675 名患者队列中,562 名患者的 Spetzler-Ponce 分级 A 或 B bAVM 被纳入分析。有利结局的逻辑回归发现,最大直径减小(连续,OR 0.62,95%CI 0.51-0.76)、无功能区位置(OR 0.23,95%CI 0.12-0.43)和无深部静脉引流(OR 0.19,95%CI 0.10-0.36)是有利结局的显著预测因子。这些变量与先前分析导致并发症的显微外科一致,并且发现支持将有利结局用于显微外科。为血管构筑特征开发的模型预测,A 级 bAVM 患者在显微手术后 8 年,其良好预后的范围为 88%-99%。对于 B 级 bAVM,相同的模型预测其良好预后的范围为 62%-90%。
结论 从 GKRS 得出的有利结局可以成功地用于显微外科队列系列,以协助治疗建议。对于最大直径小于 2.5cm 的 bAVM 患者,在显微手术后 8 年,通过显微手术可以达到至少 90%的有利结局,如果没有深部静脉引流或功能区位置,所有直径的 Spetzler-Ponce A 级 bAVM 患者也可以达到这种有利结局。对于 B 级 bAVM 患者,只有在最大直径略高于 6cm 或更小,并且没有深部静脉引流或功能区位置的情况下,才能达到这种有利结局的比率。