Prognostic Value of High-Sensitivity Cardiac Troponin T Compared with Risk Scores in Stable Cardiovascular Disease.

BACKGROUND

Risk stratification of patients with cardiovascular disease remains challenging despite consideration of risk scores.

METHODS

We aimed to evaluate the prognostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T in a low-risk outpatient population presenting for nonsecondary and secondary prevention. All-cause mortality, a composite of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke (end point 2), and a composite of all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, stroke and rehospitalization for acute coronary syndrome, and decompensated heart failure (end point 3) were defined. The prognostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T on index visit was compared with the PROCAM score and 3 FRAMINGHAM subscores.

RESULTS

In 693 patients with a median follow-up of 796 days, we observed 16 deaths, 32 patients with end point 2, and 83 patients with end point 3. All risk scores performed better in the prediction of all-cause mortality in nonsecondary prevention (area under the curve [AUC]: PROCAM: 0.922 vs 0.523, P = .001, consistent for all other scores). In secondary prevention, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T outperformed all risk scores in the prediction of all-cause mortality (ΔAUC: PROCAM: 0.319, P <.001, consistent for all other scores) and performed superiorly in the prediction of end point 2 compared with the PROCAM, FRAMINGHAM-Coronary Heart Disease, and FRAMINGHAM-Hard Coronary Heart Disease scores (ΔAUC: PROCAM: 0.176, P = .047, consistent for FRAMINGHAM-Coronary Heart Disease and FRAMINGHAM-Hard Coronary Heart Disease). In nonsecondary prevention, we observed a comparable prognostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T and multivariable risk scores. Our findings on the prediction of all-cause mortality compared with the FRAMINGHAM-Hard Coronary Heart Disease score were confirmed in an independent validation cohort on 2046 patients.

CONCLUSIONS

High-sensitivity troponin T provides excellent risk stratification regarding all-cause mortality and all-cause mortality, acute myocardial infarction, and stroke in a secondary prevention cohort in whom risk scores perform poorly.