Arbuckle Kevin
Department of Biosciences, College of Science, Swansea University, Swansea SA2 8PP, UK; Department of Evolution, Ecology and Behaviour, Biosciences Building, University of Liverpool, Crown Street, Liverpool, Merseyside L69 7ZB, UK.
R Soc Open Sci. 2016 Nov 23;3(11):160681. doi: 10.1098/rsos.160681. eCollection 2016 Nov.
Many attributes of species may be linked to contemporary extinction risk, though some such traits remain untested despite suggestions that they may be important. Here, I test whether a trait associated with higher background extinction rates, chemical antipredator defence, is also associated with current extinction risk, using amphibians as a model system-a group facing global population declines. I find that chemically defended species are approximately 60% more likely to be threatened than species without chemical defence, although the severity of the contemporary extinction risk may not relate to chemical defence. The results confirm that background and contemporary extinction rates can be predicted from the same traits, at least in certain cases. This suggests that associations between extinction risk and phenotypic traits can be temporally stable over long periods. The results also provide novel insights into the relevance of antipredator defences for species subject to conservation concerns.
物种的许多特征可能与当代灭绝风险相关,尽管有些此类特征虽有人提出可能很重要,但仍未得到验证。在此,我以两栖动物为模型系统(这是一个面临全球种群数量下降的群体),来测试一种与较高背景灭绝率相关的特征——化学性反捕食防御,是否也与当前的灭绝风险相关。我发现,具有化学防御能力的物种受到威胁的可能性比没有化学防御能力的物种高出约60%,尽管当代灭绝风险的严重程度可能与化学防御无关。结果证实,至少在某些情况下,可以根据相同的特征预测背景灭绝率和当代灭绝率。这表明,灭绝风险与表型特征之间的关联在很长一段时间内可能在时间上保持稳定。这些结果还为反捕食防御对需要保护的物种的相关性提供了新的见解。