De Wals Philippe, Zhou Zhou
From the *Centre de recherche du Centre hospitalier universitaire Québec, †Département de médicine sociale et préventive, Université Laval, and ‡Institut national de Santé publique du Québec, Quebec City, Québec, Canada.
Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2017 Jul;36(7):e203-e207. doi: 10.1097/INF.0000000000001512.
In Quebec, 1 dose of monovalent C meningococcal conjugate vaccine (Men-C-Con) is offered at 12 months of age and a booster dose in grade 9 (14-15 years of age). In other Canadian provinces, a quadrivalent vaccine against serogroups ACWY (Men-4-Con) is increasingly used for adolescents. An economic analysis was performed to assess the value of a switch from Men-C-Con to Men-4-Con.
A compartmental static simulation model was developed to assess the burden of invasive meningococcal disease due to serogroups AWY (AWY-IMD) in a cohort of 100,000 persons with different vaccination programs. Univariate and multivariate sensitivity analyses were performed, including variation in vaccine price difference ($12; range: $0-$20), AWY-IMD rate (0.08/100,000 to 0.28/100,000 person-years), level of herd immunity generated by adolescent vaccination (from zero to disease elimination) and discounting rate (0%, 3% or 6%).
In the low AWY-IMD rate base scenario, replacing Men-C-Con by Men-4-Con for adolescents would reduce disease burden by 16% (no herd effect) to 58% (moderate herd effect), with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratios between $445,000 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) and $167,000/QALY in a societal perspective. In the high AWY-IMD rate scenario, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio would be in the range of $97,000/QALY to $19,000/QALY.
Based on the epidemiologic conditions in Quebec and in most other Canadian provinces, the benefits of Men-4-Con in reducing the burden of disease would be low for a high cost. The switch would, however, be more economically attractive with a much higher incidence rate (as in a few provinces) or with a reduced vaccine price in conditions assuming a moderate to high herd effect.
在魁北克省,12月龄时接种1剂单价C群脑膜炎球菌结合疫苗(Men-C-Con),9年级(14 - 15岁)时接种加强剂次。在加拿大其他省份,针对A、C、W、Y血清群的四价疫苗(Men-4-Con)越来越多地用于青少年。进行了一项经济分析,以评估从Men-C-Con转换为Men-4-Con的价值。
开发了一个分区静态模拟模型,以评估在100,000名接受不同疫苗接种计划人群中,由A、W、Y血清群引起的侵袭性脑膜炎球菌病(AWY-IMD)负担。进行了单因素和多因素敏感性分析,包括疫苗价格差异(12美元;范围:0 - 20美元)、AWY-IMD发病率(0.08/100,000至0.28/100,000人年)、青少年疫苗接种产生的群体免疫水平(从零到疾病消除)以及贴现率(0%、3%或6%)的变化。
在低AWY-IMD发病率的基础情景下,青少年用Men-4-Con替代Men-C-Con将使疾病负担降低16%(无群体效应)至58%(中等群体效应),从社会角度看,每质量调整生命年(QALY)的增量成本效益比在445,000美元至167,000美元/QALY之间。在高AWY-IMD发病率情景下,增量成本效益比将在97,000美元/QALY至19,000美元/QALY范围内。
基于魁北克省和加拿大大多数其他省份的流行病学情况,Men-4-Con在高成本下减轻疾病负担的益处较低。然而,在发病率高得多的情况下(如在少数省份)或在假设存在中等至高群体效应的情况下疫苗价格降低时,这种转换在经济上会更具吸引力。