Shingina Alexandra, Ou George, Takach Oliver, Svarta Sigrid, Kwok Ricky, Tong Jessica, Donaldson Kieran, Lam Eric, Enns Robert
Alexandra Shingina, Department of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto General Hospital, Ontario M5G 2C4, Canada.
World J Gastrointest Endosc. 2016 Dec 16;8(20):770-776. doi: 10.4253/wjge.v8.i20.770.
To develop a prediction model aimed at identifying patients that may require higher than usual sedation doses during colonoscopy.
A retrospective chart review on 5000 patients who underwent an outpatient colonoscopy at St. Paul's Hospital from 2009 to 2010 was conducted in order to develop a model for identifying patients who will require increased doses of sedatives. Potential predictor variables including age, gender, endoscopy indication, high sedation requirements during previous endoscopies, difficulty of the procedure, bowel preparation quality, interventions, findings as well as current use of benzodiazepines, opioids and alcohol were analyzed. The outcome of study was the use of high dose of sedation agents for the procedure. In particular, the high dose of sedation was defined as fentanyl greater than 50 mcg and midazolam greater than 3 mg.
Analysis of 5282 patients (mean age 57 ± 12, 49% female) was performed. Most common indication for the procedure was screening colonoscopy (57%). Almost half of our patients received doses exceeding Fentanyl 50 mcg and Midazolam 3 mg. Logistic regression models identified the following variables associated with high sedation: Younger age (OR = 0.95 95%CI: 0.94-0.95; < 0.0001); abdominal pain (OR = 1.45, 95%CI: 1.08-1.96); = 0.01) and Inflammatory Bowel Disease (OR = 1.45, 95%CI: 1.04-2.03; = 0.02) as indications for the procedure; difficult procedure as defined by gastroenterologist (OR = 1.73, 95%CI: 1.48-2.03; < 0.0001); past history of abdominal surgery (OR = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.17-1.52; <0.0001) and previous colonoscopy (OR = 1.39, 95%CI: 1.21-1.60; = 0.0001) and alcohol use (OR = 1.26, 95%CI: 1.03-1.54; = 0.02). Age and gender adjusted analysis yielded inflammatory bowel disease as an indication (OR = 3.17, 95%CI: 1.58-6.37; = 0.002); difficult procedure as defined by an endoscopist (OR = 5.13 95%CI: 2.97-8.85; = 0.0001) and current use of opioids, benzodiazepines or antidepressants (OR = 2.88, 95%CI: 1.74-4.77; = 0.001) having the highest predictive value of high sedation requirements. Our prediction model using the following pre-procedural variables including age, gender, indication for the procedure, medication/substance use, previous surgeries, previous high sedation requirements for colonoscopy yielded an area under the curve of 0.76 for Fentanyl ≥ 100 mcg and Midazolam ≥ 3 mg.
Pre-procedural planning is the key in conducting successful, efficient colonoscopy. Logistic regression analysis of 5000 patients who underwent out-patient colonoscopy revealed the following factors associated with increased sedation requirement: Younger age, female gender, difficult endoscopy, specific indications as well as cardiopulmonary complications and current use of opioids/benzodiazepines. Age and gender adjusted analysis yielded similar results. These patients are more likely to need a longer recovery periods post-endoscopy, which could result in additional time and personnel requirements. The final predictive model has good predictive ability for Fentanyl ≥ 100 mcg and Midazolam ≥ 3 mg and fair predictive ability for Fentanyl ≥ 50 mcg and Midazolam ≥ 2 mg. The external validity of this model is planned to be tested in another center.
开发一种预测模型,旨在识别在结肠镜检查期间可能需要高于常规镇静剂量的患者。
对2009年至2010年在圣保罗医院接受门诊结肠镜检查的5000例患者进行回顾性病历审查,以建立一个识别需要增加镇静剂剂量患者的模型。分析了潜在的预测变量,包括年龄、性别、内镜检查指征、既往内镜检查时的高镇静需求、操作难度、肠道准备质量、干预措施、检查结果以及当前苯二氮䓬类药物、阿片类药物和酒精的使用情况。研究结果是该操作中使用高剂量镇静剂。具体而言,高剂量镇静定义为芬太尼大于50微克和咪达唑仑大于3毫克。
对5282例患者(平均年龄57±12岁,49%为女性)进行了分析。该操作最常见的指征是结肠镜筛查(57%)。几乎一半的患者接受的剂量超过了芬太尼50微克和咪达唑仑3毫克。逻辑回归模型确定了以下与高镇静相关的变量:年龄较小(比值比=0.95,95%置信区间:0.94 - 0.95;P<0.0001);腹痛(比值比=1.45,95%置信区间:1.08 - 1.96;P = 0.01)和炎症性肠病(比值比=1.45,95%置信区间:1.04 - 2.03;P = 0.02)作为操作指征;胃肠病学家定义的困难操作(比值比=1.73,95%置信区间:1.48 - 2.03;P<0.0001);腹部手术史(比值比=1.33,95%置信区间:1.17 - 1.52;P<0.0001)和既往结肠镜检查(比值比=1.39,95%置信区间:1.21 - 1.60;P = 0.0001)以及酒精使用(比值比=1.26,95%置信区间:1.03 - 1.54;P = 0.02)。年龄和性别调整分析得出炎症性肠病作为指征(比值比=3.17,95%置信区间:1.58 - 6.37;P = 0.002);内镜医师定义的困难操作(比值比=5.13,95%置信区间:2.97 - 8.85;P = 0.0001)以及当前使用阿片类药物、苯二氮䓬类药物或抗抑郁药(比值比=2.