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估算柬埔寨七个城市中无家可归青少年人口的规模。

Estimating the size of the homeless adolescent population across seven cities in Cambodia.

作者信息

Stark Lindsay, Rubenstein Beth L, Pak Kimchoeun, Taing Rosemary, Yu Gary, Kosal Sok, Roberts Leslie

机构信息

Department of Population and Family Health, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, 60 Haven Avenue, New York, NY, 10032, USA.

Department of Epidemiology, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, USA.

出版信息

BMC Med Res Methodol. 2017 Jan 26;17(1):13. doi: 10.1186/s12874-017-0293-9.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The Government of Cambodia has committed to supporting family care for vulnerable children, including homeless populations. Collecting baseline data on the numbers and characteristics of homeless adolescents was prioritized to illuminate the scope of the issue, mobilize resources and direct the response.

METHODS

Administrative zones across seven cities were purposively selected to cover the main urban areas known to have homeless populations in Cambodia. A complete enumeration of homeless individuals between the ages of 13 and 17 was attempted in the selected areas. In addition, a second independent count was conducted to enable a statistical estimation of completeness based on overlap across counts. This technique is known as capture-recapture. Adolescents were also interviewed about their schooling, health and other circumstances.

RESULTS

After adjustment by the capture-recapture corrective multipliers (range: 3.53 -27.08), the study yielded an estimate of 2,697 13-17 year old homeless adolescents across all seven cities. The total number of homeless boys counted was significantly greater than homeless girls, especially in older ages.

CONCLUSIONS

To the authors' knowledge, this is the first time capture-recapture methods have been applied to a homeless estimation of this scale in a resource-limited setting. Findings suggest the number of homeless adolescents in Cambodia is much greater than one would expect if relying on single count data alone and that this population faces many hardships.

摘要

背景

柬埔寨政府致力于支持对弱势儿童,包括无家可归者群体的家庭照料。优先收集关于无家可归青少年数量和特征的基线数据,以阐明问题的范围、调动资源并指导应对措施。

方法

有目的地选择了七个城市的行政区,以覆盖柬埔寨已知有无家可归者群体的主要城市地区。在选定区域尝试对13至17岁的无家可归者进行全面清点。此外,进行了第二次独立清点,以便根据清点结果的重叠情况对完整性进行统计估计。这种技术称为捕获再捕获。还对青少年进行了关于他们的学业、健康和其他情况的访谈。

结果

经捕获再捕获校正乘数调整后(范围:3.53 - 27.08),该研究得出所有七个城市中13至17岁无家可归青少年的估计数为2697人。统计的无家可归男孩总数明显多于无家可归女孩,尤其是在年龄较大的群体中。

结论

据作者所知,这是首次在资源有限的环境中将捕获再捕获方法应用于这种规模的无家可归者估计。研究结果表明,柬埔寨无家可归青少年的数量远远超过仅依靠单次清点数据所预期的数量,而且这一群体面临许多困难。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3fa9/5267377/e5dcd8c23dd7/12874_2017_293_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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