Sarti Simone, Triventi Moris
Department of Social and Political Sciences, University of Milan, Italy.
Department of Political and Social Sciences, European University Institute, Italy.
Soc Sci Res. 2017 Feb;62:219-237. doi: 10.1016/j.ssresearch.2016.08.009. Epub 2016 Aug 25.
Most of the studies on the determinants of individual gambling behaviour rely on cognitive theories. In our study, we argue that, besides cognitive factors, several social factors might play an important role as well. We analyse data from an ad hoc webmail survey conducted on about 2000 undergraduate students enrolled in a large public university in the Northern Italy in the academic year 2012-13. Using a variety of statistical techniques (standard regression models, boosted regression trees and structural equations models), we show that social variables affect both participation in gambling in the past year and latent gambling propensity. In particular, controlling for several proxies for individual cognitive ability and understanding of probability, gambling propensity is positively affected by the degree of gambling in the social surrounding (parents, peers, neighbourhood) and the acceptability of gambling activities to the individual. Moreover, in our sample of college students the role of social factors appears to be larger than that of cognitive factors, and this is consistent across different types of models and specifications.
大多数关于个人赌博行为决定因素的研究都依赖于认知理论。在我们的研究中,我们认为,除了认知因素外,一些社会因素可能也起着重要作用。我们分析了2012 - 13学年对意大利北部一所大型公立大学约2000名本科生进行的一次特设网络邮件调查的数据。使用多种统计技术(标准回归模型、增强回归树和结构方程模型),我们表明社会变量既影响过去一年的赌博参与情况,也影响潜在的赌博倾向。特别是,在控制了个体认知能力和对概率理解的几个代理变量后,赌博倾向受到社会环境(父母、同龄人、邻里)中的赌博程度以及赌博活动对个体的可接受性的积极影响。此外,在我们的大学生样本中,社会因素的作用似乎比认知因素更大,并且在不同类型的模型和设定中都是一致的。