Blanco Barbara A, Kothari Anai N, Halandras Pegge M, Blackwell Robert H, Graunke Dawn M, Kuo Paul C, Cho Jae S
Department of Surgery, Loyola University Chicago, Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, Ill; One:MAP Section of Surgical Analytics, Department of Surgery, Loyola University Chicago, Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, Ill.
One:MAP Section of Surgical Analytics, Department of Surgery, Loyola University Chicago, Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, Ill; Department of Urology, Loyola University Chicago, Stritch School of Medicine, Maywood, Ill.
J Vasc Surg. 2017 Aug;66(2):413-422. doi: 10.1016/j.jvs.2016.11.036. Epub 2017 Feb 9.
It is well established that transient postoperative atrial fibrillation (TPAF) is associated with adverse postoperative outcomes after major cardiac and noncardiac operations. The purpose of this study was to elucidate the incidence, impact, and risk factors associated with the development of TPAF in patients undergoing revascularization surgery for occlusive diseases of the abdominal aorta and its branches (AAB).
By use of the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project State Inpatient Database from Florida and California, patients who underwent open revascularization of AAB between 2006 and 2011 were identified. Patients diagnosed with aortic dissection or abdominal aortic aneurysm were excluded to limit the study cohort to include only patients with occlusive etiology. Also excluded were those with a pre-existing diagnosis of atrial fibrillation and those who underwent thoracic aortic repair and peripheral artery revascularization procedures. Multivariable logistic and linear regression analyses with treatment effects were conducted to analyze the association between TPAF and length of stay (LOS); the mortality rates at index admission, 1 month, and 1 year; and the readmission rates at 1 month and 1 year (adjusted for comorbidities and surgical and demographic factors). A backwards stepwise logistic regression model was built to identify predictors of TPAF.
A total of 4462 patients were identified; 3253 underwent aortoiliac/femoral bypasses (72.9%), 1514 endarterectomies of AAB (33.9%), and 288 bypasses of AAB (6.5%). The incidence of TPAF was 2.4% (109 patients). Multivariate regression analysis with treatment effects showed that TPAF was associated with significantly increased LOS, mortality, and readmission rates. Factors identified as predictors of TPAF by backwards stepwise logistic regression modeling include electrolyte disorders, increasing age, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (C statistic = .69; accuracy = 58%).
TPAF after revascularization of AAB is associated with increased LOS, inpatient mortality, 1-year mortality, and hospital readmissions. Strategies to identify patients at risk for development of TPAF and implementation of appropriate prophylactic measures may improve surgical outcomes and reduce cost of care.
术后短暂性房颤(TPAF)与心脏及非心脏大手术后的不良预后相关,这一点已得到充分证实。本研究旨在阐明接受腹主动脉及其分支闭塞性疾病(AAB)血管重建手术患者中TPAF的发生率、影响及相关危险因素。
利用佛罗里达州和加利福尼亚州的医疗成本与利用项目州住院数据库,确定2006年至2011年间接受AAB开放血管重建手术的患者。排除诊断为主动脉夹层或腹主动脉瘤的患者,以将研究队列限制为仅包括病因是闭塞性疾病的患者。还排除了既往诊断为房颤的患者以及接受胸主动脉修复和外周动脉血管重建手术的患者。进行了带有治疗效应的多变量逻辑回归和线性回归分析,以分析TPAF与住院时间(LOS)、首次入院时、1个月和1年时的死亡率以及1个月和1年时的再入院率之间的关联(对合并症、手术和人口统计学因素进行了校正)。构建了向后逐步逻辑回归模型以确定TPAF的预测因素。
共确定4462例患者;3253例接受了主髂/股动脉旁路移植术(72.9%),1514例接受了AAB内膜切除术(33.9%),288例接受了AAB旁路移植术(6.5%)。TPAF的发生率为2.4%(109例患者)。带有治疗效应的多变量回归分析表明,TPAF与住院时间显著延长、死亡率和再入院率增加相关。通过向后逐步逻辑回归建模确定为TPAF预测因素的因素包括电解质紊乱、年龄增加和Charlson合并症指数(C统计量 = 0.69;准确率 = 58%)。
AAB血管重建术后的TPAF与住院时间延长、住院死亡率、1年死亡率和医院再入院率增加相关。识别有发生TPAF风险的患者并实施适当预防措施的策略可能会改善手术预后并降低护理成本。