Tiira Timo, Uski Marja, Kortström Jari, Kaisko Outi, Korja Annakaisa
Institute of Seismology, Department of Geosciences and Geography, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, POB 68, FIN-00014 Finland.
J Seismol. 2016;20(2):397-417. doi: 10.1007/s10950-015-9534-8. Epub 2015 Nov 5.
This study presents a plan for seismic monitoring of a region around a potential nuclear power plant. Seismic monitoring is needed to evaluate seismic risk. The International Atomic Energy Agency has set guidelines on seismic hazard evaluation and monitoring of such areas. According to these guidelines, we have made a plan for a local network of seismic stations to collect data for seismic source characterization and seismotectonic interpretations, as well as to monitor seismic activity and natural hazards. The detection and location capability of the network were simulated using different station configurations by computing spatial azimuthal coverages and detection threshold magnitudes. Background noise conditions around Pyhäjoki were analyzed by comparing data from different stations. The annual number of microearthquakes that should be detected with a dense local network centered around Pyhäjoki was estimated. The network should be dense enough to fulfill the requirements of azimuthal coverage better than 180° and automatic event location capability down to ML ∼ 0 within a distance of 25 km from the site. A network of 10 stations should be enough to reach these goals. With this setup, the detection threshold magnitudes are estimated to be ML = -0.1 and ML = 0.1 within a radius of 25 and 50 km from Pyhäjoki, respectively. The annual number of earthquakes detected by the network is estimated to be 2 (ML ≥ ∼ -0.1) within 25 km radius and 5 (ML ≥ ∼-0.1 to ∼0.1) within 50 km radius. The location accuracy within 25 km radius is estimated to be 1-2 and 4 km for horizontal coordinates and depth, respectively. Thus, the network is dense enough to map out capable faults with horizontal accuracy of 1-2 km within 25 km radius of the site. The estimation is based on the location accuracies of five existing networks in northern Europe. Local factors, such as seismic noise sources, geology and infrastructure might limit the station configuration and detection and location capability of the network.
本研究提出了一项针对潜在核电站周边地区的地震监测计划。需要进行地震监测以评估地震风险。国际原子能机构已制定了此类地区地震危险性评估和监测的指导方针。根据这些指导方针,我们制定了一个地震台站本地网络计划,用于收集地震源特征描述和地震构造解释的数据,以及监测地震活动和自然灾害。通过计算空间方位覆盖范围和检测阈值震级,使用不同的台站配置对该网络的检测和定位能力进行了模拟。通过比较不同台站的数据,分析了皮哈约基周围的背景噪声条件。估计了以皮哈约基为中心的密集本地网络每年应检测到的微震数量。该网络应足够密集,以满足方位覆盖范围优于180°以及在距场地25公里范围内自动事件定位能力达到ML ∼ 0的要求。一个由10个台站组成的网络应该足以实现这些目标。通过这种设置,估计在距皮哈约基25公里和50公里半径范围内的检测阈值震级分别为ML = -0.1和ML = 0.1。估计该网络每年在25公里半径内检测到的地震数量为2次(ML ≥ ∼ -0.1),在50公里半径内为5次(ML ≥ ∼-0.1至 ∼0.1)。估计在25公里半径内水平坐标和深度的定位精度分别为1 - 2公里和4公里。因此,该网络足够密集,能够在场地25公里半径范围内以1 - 2公里的水平精度绘制出潜在断层。该估计基于北欧五个现有网络的定位精度。当地因素,如地震噪声源、地质和基础设施等,可能会限制网络的台站配置以及检测和定位能力。