Stevens P, Muller E, Becker P
Department of Paediatric Surgery, Steve Biko Academic Hospital, University of Pretoria.
South African Medical Research Council.
S Afr J Surg. 2016 Mar;54(1):4-9.
The time from birth to the first paediatric surgical consultation of neonates with gastroschisis is a predictor of mortality in dveloping countries. This is contrary to findings in the developed world. We set out to document this relationship within our population.
Neonates with gastroschisis who were transferred to Steve Biko Academic Hospital within the study period were included. The association between mortality and demographic, clinical and biochemical variables was assessed. Significant variables after univariate analysis were subjected to multivariates regression.
Sixty patients were included. The mortality rate was 65%. Mean transfer time and distance were 14.9 hours and 225km. Forty-eight per cent of the neonates were either dehydrated or in hypovolaemic shock clinically on arrival. Eight neonates arrived hypothermic. It was shown through univariate analysis that female sex, appropriate weight for gestational age, hydration status, gestation, transfer time, serum urea, base deficit and serum bicarbonate (HCO3) were significant predictors of mortality. Only female sex, appropriate weight for gestational age and serum HC03 were shown to be significant using ultivariate analysis.
Our high mortality rate was not due to lengthy transfer times. The poor clinical condition of the patients on arrival at our hospital, which relates to deficiencies in the neonatal transfer system, had a direct impact on the survival of neonates with gastroschisis.
在发展中国家,腹裂新生儿从出生到首次接受儿科手术会诊的时间是死亡率的一个预测指标。这与发达国家的研究结果相反。我们着手在我们的人群中记录这种关系。
纳入研究期间转诊至史蒂夫·比科学术医院的腹裂新生儿。评估死亡率与人口统计学、临床和生化变量之间的关联。单因素分析后有意义的变量进行多因素回归分析。
纳入60例患者。死亡率为65%。平均转诊时间和距离分别为14.9小时和225公里。48%的新生儿入院时临床上存在脱水或低血容量休克。8例新生儿入院时体温过低。单因素分析显示,女性、出生体重与孕周相符、水合状态、孕周、转诊时间、血清尿素、碱缺失和血清碳酸氢盐(HCO3)是死亡率的重要预测因素。多因素分析显示,只有女性、出生体重与孕周相符和血清HCO3具有显著性。
我们的高死亡率并非由于转诊时间过长。患者入院时的不良临床状况与新生儿转运系统的缺陷有关,这对腹裂新生儿的存活有直接影响。