Egbe Alexander C, Driscoll David J, Khan Arooj R, Said Sameh S, Akintoye Emmanuel, Berganza Fernando M, Connolly Heidi M
Division of Cardiovascular Diseases, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Division of Pediatric Cardiology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Int J Cardiol. 2017 May 15;235:6-10. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2017.02.140. Epub 2017 Feb 28.
The purpose of the study was to determine the role of cardiopulmonary exercise test (CPET) indices in predicting cardiovascular adverse events (CAEs) in patients with Fontan palliation. CAE was defined as death or cardiac surgery.
Retrospective review of adult Fontan patients who had treadmill CPET at Mayo Clinic, 1994-2013. Patients with loss of follow-up defined as ≥2years without clinical follow-up were excluded. The results of serial CPETs were reviewed, and patients with CPETs meeting the following criteria were selected for analysis: maximum effort on serial CPETs, minimum of 3-year interval between CPETs, and absence of CAE between CPETs.
A total of 145 patients met inclusion criteria for the study; age at baseline CPET was 24±3years; age at Fontan operation was 11±5years; and 91 (63%) were males. Baseline peak oxygen consumption (VO) was 22.7±5.4ml/kg/min (63±11% predicted), peak heart rate was 135±31beats per minute, and oxygen saturation at peak exercise was 86±7%. Serial CPETs were performed in 71/145 patients (49%); mean duration between CPETs was 3.8±0.3years. The % predicted peak VO decreased by 1.7±0.9 percentage points/year. CAE (deaths n=22; cardiac surgery n=45) occurred in 54/145 patients (37%) within 8±3years. Decline in % predicted peak VO≥3 percentage points/year was the only predictor of 5-year risk of CAE (HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.11-3.48, P=0.02).
Serial CPET is prognostic of CAE in the adult Fontan population, and can be used to risk stratify these patients.
本研究的目的是确定心肺运动试验(CPET)指标在预测Fontan姑息治疗患者心血管不良事件(CAE)中的作用。CAE定义为死亡或心脏手术。
回顾性分析1994年至2013年在梅奥诊所进行平板CPET的成年Fontan患者。排除随访缺失(定义为≥2年无临床随访)的患者。回顾系列CPET的结果,选择符合以下标准的患者进行分析:系列CPET达到最大努力程度、CPET之间间隔至少3年、CPET之间无CAE。
共有145例患者符合研究纳入标准;基线CPET时年龄为24±3岁;Fontan手术时年龄为11±5岁;91例(63%)为男性。基线峰值耗氧量(VO)为22.7±5.4ml/kg/min(预测值的63±11%),峰值心率为每分钟135±31次,运动峰值时的氧饱和度为86±7%。145例患者中的71例(49%)进行了系列CPET;CPET之间的平均间隔时间为3.8±0.3年。预测峰值VO的百分比每年下降1.7±0.9个百分点。54/145例患者(37%)在8±3年内发生了CAE(死亡22例;心脏手术45例)。预测峰值VO百分比下降≥3个百分点/年是CAE 5年风险的唯一预测因素(HR 1.86,95%CI 1.11 - 3.48,P = 0.02)。
系列CPET对成年Fontan人群的CAE具有预后价值,可用于对这些患者进行风险分层。