Tóth Dezső, Bíró Adrienn, Kincses Zsolt, Árkosy Péter, Török Miklós
Általános Sebészeti Osztály, Kenézy Gyula Kórház 4031 Debrecen, Bartók B. u. 2-26.
Általános, Mellkas- és Érsebészeti Osztály, Somogy Megyei Kaposi Mór Oktató Kórház Kaposvár.
Magy Seb. 2017 Mar;70(1):48-55. doi: 10.1556/1046.70.2017.1.7.
Forty percent of patients with gastric cancer have an unnecessarily extended lymph node dissection with a higher rate of morbidity and mortality. While the Maruyama computer program (MCP) can estimate the lymph node involvement before the surgery, the Maruyama Index (MI) could be a good predictor of overall and disease free survival.
To measure the probability calculations by MCP, we had to define different "cut-off" levels, with using the calculation of the receiver-operating characteristics analysis. The long term oncological results, as the overall survival (OS) and disease free survival (DFS) were calculated in correlation with the extension of lymphadenectomy (D1 versus D2) and Maruyama Index (MI < 5 versus MI ≥ 5).
74 patients were investigated by the Maruyama computer program preoperatively for the short-term results, and the data of 101 patients were eligible for evaluation of the long-term oncological outcomes. The MCP had a 90.2% of sensitivity, 63.3% of specificity and 78.4% of accuracy. The positive predictive value was 75.5% and the negative predictive value was 84%. In D1 group the DFS was 93.6 months and 68.7 months in D2 group (p = 0.41; HR = 1.34), and the OS was 74.6 and 72.2 months respectively (p = 0.66; HR = 0.87). In patients with MI < 5 the DFS was 92 months and 62.5 months in patients with MI ≥ 5 (p = 0.31; HR = 1.4), while the OS was 86 months and 60.4 months (p = 0.17; HR = 1.52).
Our results proved, that the computerized prediction of LN metastases is efficient and the long term results suggest, that the MI < 5 has a better impact on survival, than the D-level guided surgery.
40%的胃癌患者接受了不必要的扩大淋巴结清扫术,其发病率和死亡率更高。虽然丸山计算机程序(MCP)可以在手术前估计淋巴结受累情况,但丸山指数(MI)可能是总生存期和无病生存期的良好预测指标。
为了测量MCP的概率计算,我们必须使用受试者工作特征分析的计算方法来定义不同的“临界”水平。将长期肿瘤学结果,即总生存期(OS)和无病生存期(DFS)与淋巴结清扫范围(D1与D2)和丸山指数(MI < 5与MI≥5)相关联进行计算。
术前通过丸山计算机程序对74例患者进行了短期结果调查,101例患者的数据符合长期肿瘤学结果评估标准。MCP的敏感性为90.2%,特异性为63.3%,准确性为78.4%。阳性预测值为75.5%,阴性预测值为84%。D1组的DFS为93.6个月,D2组为68.7个月(p = 0.41;HR =