On the analysis of competition at the level of the individual plant.

The extent to which some measure of local crowding can account for the performance of individual plants is examined with reference to populations of two species of annual plant. Only a relatively small proportion of the variation in individual plant yield could be accounted for by measures of local crowding. These included the number of close neighbours, an estimate of the area available to each plant and competitive pressure. A multiple regression that took account of both emergence time and local crowding increased the proportion of variance that could be accounted for up to 50%. Computer simulations of the growth of indivudual plants in monoculture were then caried out in order to determine whether the unexplained variation resulted from fundamental flaws in the models or from unaccounted for sources of variation in the field. The results from the simulations again indicated that only a relatively low proportion of the variation in individual plant yield could be accounted for by emergence time and local density, even though these were known to be the only variables present. These findings are discussed in relation to the relative importance of one-sided and two-sided competition, and the complex cross-correlations that occur between individuals in plant populations. These two factors will make it very difficult for field workers to determine accurately what factors determine individual plant yield and in particular to predict the effects of local crowding on the performance of individual plants.