Department of Psychiatry, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, New Hampshire.
Department of Community and Family Medicine, Dartmouth Centers for Health and Aging, Lebanon, New Hampshire.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2018 Aug 10;73(9):1280-1286. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glw335.
Preventing hospitalizations and re-hospitalizations of older adults receiving Medicare home health (HH) services is a key goal for patients and care providers. This study aimed to identify factors related to greater risk of and earlier hospitalizations from HH, a key step in targeting preventive efforts.
Data come from Medicare mandated start-of-care assessments from 87,780 HH patients served by 132 agencies in 32 states, collected from January 2013 to March 2015. Using parametric accelerated failure time (AFT) survival models, we evaluated the association between key patient and environmental characteristics and the hazard of and time until hospitalization and re-hospitalization.
In total, 15,030 hospitalizations, including 6,539 re-hospitalizations, occurred in the sample within 60 days of start of HH. Factors most strongly associated with substantially greater risk of and earlier hospitalization included male gender, history of hospitalization, polypharmacy, elevated depressive symptoms, greater functional disability, primary diagnoses of heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and urinary tract infection, and government-controlled agency care. In addition to these factors, black race and primary diagnosis of skin wounds were uniquely related to risk of earlier re-hospitalization.
Results suggest that factors collected during routine HH patient assessments can provide important information to predict risk of earlier hospitalization and re-hospitalization among Medicare HH patients. Identified factors can help identify patients at greatest risk of early hospitalization and may be important targets for agencies and care providers to prevent avoidable hospitalizations.
预防接受医疗保险家庭保健 (HH) 服务的老年患者的住院和再住院是患者和护理提供者的一个关键目标。本研究旨在确定与 HH 住院风险增加和更早住院相关的因素,这是针对预防措施的关键步骤。
数据来自 Medicare 强制性的起始护理评估,涉及来自 32 个州的 132 个机构的 87780 名 HH 患者,收集时间为 2013 年 1 月至 2015 年 3 月。使用参数加速失效时间 (AFT) 生存模型,我们评估了关键患者和环境特征与住院和再住院风险以及时间的关系。
在样本中,共有 15030 例住院,其中包括 6539 例再住院,在开始 HH 后 60 天内发生。与住院风险显著增加和更早住院最相关的因素包括男性性别、住院史、多药治疗、抑郁症状加重、功能障碍更严重、心脏病、慢性阻塞性肺疾病和尿路感染的主要诊断以及政府控制的机构护理。除了这些因素,黑人种族和皮肤伤口的主要诊断与更早再住院的风险有关。
结果表明,在常规 HH 患者评估期间收集的因素可以为预测医疗保险 HH 患者更早住院和再住院的风险提供重要信息。确定的因素可以帮助识别风险最高的患者,并可能是机构和护理提供者预防不必要住院的重要目标。