J Orthop Sports Phys Ther. 2017 May;47(5):305-313. doi: 10.2519/jospt.2017.7415. Epub 2017 Mar 29.
Study Design Systematic review. Background While most people with acute low back pain (LBP) recover quickly, recurrences are believed to be common. To our knowledge, no published high-quality systematic review has assessed the risk of recurrent LBP or the factors that would predict LBP recurrence. Objectives The aim of this study was to investigate the risk of, and prognostic factors for, a recurrence of LBP in patients who have recovered from a previous episode of LBP within the last year. Methods Systematic searches were conducted in the MEDLINE, Embase, and CINAHL databases. We included longitudinal studies of adults who had recovered from a previous episode of LBP within 12 months. The primary outcome was a new episode of LBP. Secondary outcomes were other types of recurrence (eg, episodes causing care seeking). Results Eight studies were included in the review: 7 observational studies and 1 randomized trial (2 publications). Six studies reported recurrence proportions for the primary outcome of an episode of LBP. Meta-analysis was not conducted due to the low quality and heterogeneity of studies. Only 1 study was considered an inception cohort study; it reported a 1-year recurrence proportion of 33%. A history of previous episodes of LBP prior to the most recent episode was the only factor that consistently predicted recurrence of LBP. Conclusion The available research does not provide robust estimates of the risk of LBP recurrence and provides little information about factors that predict recurrence in people recently recovered from an episode of LBP. Level of Evidence Prognosis, 1a-. Prospectively registered in PROSPERO on February 9, 2016 (CRD42016030220). J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2017;47(5):305-313. Epub 29 Mar 2017. doi:10.2519/jospt.2017.7415.
研究设计:系统评价。
背景:大多数急性腰痛(LBP)患者会迅速康复,但据信复发较为常见。据我们所知,尚无发表的高质量系统评价评估过 LBP 复发的风险或预测 LBP 复发的因素。
目的:本研究旨在调查在过去 1 年内从先前 LBP 发作中康复的患者中,LBP 复发的风险和预测因素。
方法:在 MEDLINE、Embase 和 CINAHL 数据库中进行系统检索。我们纳入了在 12 个月内从先前 LBP 发作中康复的成年人的纵向研究。主要结局为新发 LBP 发作。次要结局为其他类型的复发(例如,导致寻求治疗的发作)。
结果:共有 8 项研究纳入本综述:7 项观察性研究和 1 项随机试验(2 篇文献)。6 项研究报告了 LBP 发作这一主要结局的复发比例。由于研究质量低且存在异质性,因此未进行荟萃分析。只有 1 项研究被认为是起始队列研究;它报告了 1 年复发率为 33%。先前 LBP 发作史是唯一一致预测最近一次 LBP 发作复发的因素。
结论:现有研究并未提供 LBP 复发风险的可靠估计值,并且对最近从 LBP 发作中康复的人群中预测复发的因素提供的信息较少。
证据等级:预后,1a-。于 2016 年 2 月 9 日在 PROSPERO 前瞻性注册(CRD42016030220)。
《矫形与运动物理治疗杂志》2017 年;47(5):305-313。2017 年 3 月 29 日在线发表。doi:10.2519/jospt.2017.7415.
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