Hewett Timothy E
J Orthop Sports Phys Ther. 2017 Apr;47(4):228-231. doi: 10.2519/jospt.2017.0603.
Can we predict future events? Biostatisticians might answer with an unequivocal yes and state that logistic regression models do exactly that: they predict the relative risk of an outcome on the basis of logistic regression of multiple independent variables. If this is the case, then which approaches improve predictive capability? We are not attempting to predict individual events in individual athletes. However, certain approaches can improve predictive power. J Orthop Sports Phys Ther 2017;47(4):228-231. doi:10.2519/jospt.2017.0603.
我们能预测未来事件吗?生物统计学家可能会给出明确的肯定回答,并指出逻辑回归模型正是如此:它们基于多个自变量的逻辑回归来预测结果的相对风险。如果是这样,那么哪些方法能提高预测能力呢?我们并非试图预测个别运动员的个别事件。然而,某些方法可以提高预测能力。《矫形与运动物理治疗杂志》2017年;47(4):228 - 231。doi:10.2519/jospt.2017.0603。