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分析二元序列数据——研究问题与隐含统计模型

Analyzing Dyadic Sequence Data-Research Questions and Implied Statistical Models.

作者信息

Fuchs Peter, Nussbeck Fridtjof W, Meuwly Nathalie, Bodenmann Guy

机构信息

Department of Psychology, Bielefeld UniversityBielefeld, Germany.

Department of Psychology, University of FribourgFribourg, Switzerland.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2017 Apr 11;8:429. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2017.00429. eCollection 2017.

Abstract

The analysis of observational data is often seen as a key approach to understanding dynamics in romantic relationships but also in dyadic systems in general. Statistical models for the analysis of dyadic observational data are not commonly known or applied. In this contribution, selected approaches to dyadic sequence data will be presented with a focus on models that can be applied when sample sizes are of medium size ( = 100 couples or less). Each of the statistical models is motivated by an underlying potential research question, the most important model results are presented and linked to the research question. The following research questions and models are compared with respect to their applicability using a hands on approach: (I) Is there an association between a particular behavior by one and the reaction by the other partner? (Pearson Correlation); (II) Does the behavior of one member trigger an immediate reaction by the other? (aggregated logit models; multi-level approach; basic Markov model); (III) Is there an underlying dyadic process, which might account for the observed behavior? (hidden Markov model); and (IV) Are there latent groups of dyads, which might account for observing different reaction patterns? (mixture Markov; optimal matching). Finally, recommendations for researchers to choose among the different models, issues of data handling, and advises to apply the statistical models in empirical research properly are given (e.g., in a new r-package "DySeq").

摘要

观察数据的分析通常被视为理解浪漫关系动态的关键方法,而且一般来说也是理解二元系统动态的关键方法。用于分析二元观察数据的统计模型并不为人们所熟知或广泛应用。在本文中,将介绍一些针对二元序列数据的选定方法,重点关注在样本量为中等规模(即100对或更少夫妻)时可应用的模型。每个统计模型都由一个潜在的研究问题驱动,展示最重要的模型结果并将其与研究问题联系起来。使用实际操作方法,就以下研究问题和模型的适用性进行比较:(I)一方的特定行为与另一方的反应之间是否存在关联?(皮尔逊相关性);(II)一方的行为是否会立即引发另一方的反应?(聚合逻辑模型;多层次方法;基本马尔可夫模型);(III)是否存在一个潜在的二元过程,可以解释观察到的行为?(隐马尔可夫模型);以及(IV)是否存在二元组的潜在分组,可以解释观察到的不同反应模式?(混合马尔可夫;最优匹配)。最后,给出了研究人员在不同模型中进行选择的建议、数据处理问题,以及关于在实证研究中正确应用统计模型的建议(例如,在一个新的R包“DySeq”中)。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/de3c/5387096/c4227ca33ada/fpsyg-08-00429-g0001.jpg

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